Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's overnight minimum on August 27 will likely fall between 12–14°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around 11–14°C. Mild northwesterly flow and moderate cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, while the moderating influence of the Atlantic keeps values above typical August climatological lows near 10–11°C. Model consensus shows slight variations in exact timing of the coldest hour and boundary-layer mixing, creating the narrow spread in trader-implied odds. Updated runs from agencies such as the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日开普敦最低气温？
8月27日开普敦最低气温？
12°C 30%
13°C 30%
10°C 27%
11°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
8°C或以下
4%
9°C
1%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
30%
13°C
30%
14°C
27%
15°C
9%
16°C
9%
17°C
10%
18°C或更高
3%
12°C 30%
13°C 30%
10°C 27%
11°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
8°C或以下
$5 交易量
4%
9°C
$15 交易量
1%
10°C
$0 交易量
27%
11°C
$0 交易量
27%
12°C
$0 交易量
30%
13°C
$0 交易量
30%
14°C
$0 交易量
27%
15°C
$30 交易量
9%
16°C
$145 交易量
9%
17°C
$5 交易量
10%
18°C或更高
$5 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's overnight minimum on August 27 will likely fall between 12–14°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around 11–14°C. Mild northwesterly flow and moderate cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, while the moderating influence of the Atlantic keeps values above typical August climatological lows near 10–11°C. Model consensus shows slight variations in exact timing of the coldest hour and boundary-layer mixing, creating the narrow spread in trader-implied odds. Updated runs from agencies such as the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$205结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's overnight minimum on August 27 will likely fall between 12–14°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around 11–14°C. Mild northwesterly flow and moderate cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, while the moderating influence of the Atlantic keeps values above typical August climatological lows near 10–11°C. Model consensus shows slight variations in exact timing of the coldest hour and boundary-layer mixing, creating the narrow spread in trader-implied odds. Updated runs from agencies such as the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$205结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's overnight minimum on August 27 will likely fall between 12–14°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around 11–14°C. Mild northwesterly flow and moderate cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, while the moderating influence of the Atlantic keeps values above typical August climatological lows near 10–11°C. Model consensus shows slight variations in exact timing of the coldest hour and boundary-layer mixing, creating the narrow spread in trader-implied odds. Updated runs from agencies such as the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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