Wuhan’s official meteorological observations on August 28 confirm a daily maximum of exactly 36°C, aligning with pre-dawn forecasts from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration that projected a high near 36°C under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly flow and minimal precipitation. This consensus, reinforced by real-time station data showing afternoon peaks at or below the threshold, underpins the market’s near-certain outcome. The 36°C mark fits typical late-August patterns for the Yangtze River valley, where subtropical highs sustain heat without extreme spikes. A sudden revision in official readings or an unforecasted convective burst pushing temperatures higher remains the only realistic scenario that could alter resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日武汉气温最高?
36°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$46,173 交易量
$46,173 交易量
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$46,173 交易量
$46,173 交易量
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Wuhan’s official meteorological observations on August 28 confirm a daily maximum of exactly 36°C, aligning with pre-dawn forecasts from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration that projected a high near 36°C under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly flow and minimal precipitation. This consensus, reinforced by real-time station data showing afternoon peaks at or below the threshold, underpins the market’s near-certain outcome. The 36°C mark fits typical late-August patterns for the Yangtze River valley, where subtropical highs sustain heat without extreme spikes. A sudden revision in official readings or an unforecasted convective burst pushing temperatures higher remains the only realistic scenario that could alter resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题