Latest forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a high near 28°C in Chengdu on August 29, driven by an incoming trough and increased cloud cover with 60-80% rain probability that limits daytime heating. Recent days have seen highs of 32-34°C under clearer, more humid conditions typical of the Sichuan basin in late summer, but the shift to organized precipitation and northeasterly flow is expected to suppress peaks by 3-5°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest around the 27-29°C range, reflecting minor differences in timing of the rain shield and boundary-layer moisture, while historical August variability supports this cooler regime when monsoon influences strengthen. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24-48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日成都气温最高？
8月29日成都气温最高？
28°C 34%
29°C 21%
30°C 20%
27°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
20%
28°C
22%
29°C
21%
30°C
12%
31°C
10%
32°C
7%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
28°C 34%
29°C 21%
30°C 20%
27°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
24°C or below
$0 交易量
1%
25°C
$100 交易量
2%
26°C
$0 交易量
11%
27°C
$0 交易量
20%
28°C
$17 交易量
22%
29°C
$0 交易量
21%
30°C
$10 交易量
12%
31°C
$0 交易量
10%
32°C
$7 交易量
7%
33°C
$5 交易量
4%
34°C or higher
$310 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a high near 28°C in Chengdu on August 29, driven by an incoming trough and increased cloud cover with 60-80% rain probability that limits daytime heating. Recent days have seen highs of 32-34°C under clearer, more humid conditions typical of the Sichuan basin in late summer, but the shift to organized precipitation and northeasterly flow is expected to suppress peaks by 3-5°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest around the 27-29°C range, reflecting minor differences in timing of the rain shield and boundary-layer moisture, while historical August variability supports this cooler regime when monsoon influences strengthen. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24-48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$449结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a high near 28°C in Chengdu on August 29, driven by an incoming trough and increased cloud cover with 60-80% rain probability that limits daytime heating. Recent days have seen highs of 32-34°C under clearer, more humid conditions typical of the Sichuan basin in late summer, but the shift to organized precipitation and northeasterly flow is expected to suppress peaks by 3-5°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest around the 27-29°C range, reflecting minor differences in timing of the rain shield and boundary-layer moisture, while historical August variability supports this cooler regime when monsoon influences strengthen. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24-48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$449结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETLatest forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a high near 28°C in Chengdu on August 29, driven by an incoming trough and increased cloud cover with 60-80% rain probability that limits daytime heating. Recent days have seen highs of 32-34°C under clearer, more humid conditions typical of the Sichuan basin in late summer, but the shift to organized precipitation and northeasterly flow is expected to suppress peaks by 3-5°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest around the 27-29°C range, reflecting minor differences in timing of the rain shield and boundary-layer moisture, while historical August variability supports this cooler regime when monsoon influences strengthen. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24-48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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