Recent model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Chengdu on August 29 between 20–23 °C, driven by lingering cloud cover and scattered showers from the active East Asian monsoon pattern. Persistent high humidity (often above 70 %) and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling under overcast skies, while any earlier clearing or stronger northerly flow could allow the temperature to dip closer to 19 °C. Conversely, prolonged rain or thicker cloud decks would support readings nearer 25 °C by suppressing temperature drops after sunset. Historical August lows average near 22–24 °C, but the current unsettled conditions introduce modest forecast spread across guidance, keeping trader probabilities clustered tightly around the mid-20s. Updated model runs and overnight observations will be the key near-term drivers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日成都最低气温？
8月29日成都最低气温？
19°C 88%
20°C 76%
25°C 45%
24°C 45%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
17°C or below
1%
18°C
17%
19°C
88%
20°C
76%
21°C
44%
22°C
43%
23°C
35%
24°C
45%
25°C
45%
26°C
44%
27°C or higher
36%
19°C 88%
20°C 76%
25°C 45%
24°C 45%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
17°C or below
$135 交易量
1%
18°C
$5 交易量
17%
19°C
$5 交易量
88%
20°C
$64 交易量
76%
21°C
$0 交易量
44%
22°C
$0 交易量
43%
23°C
$0 交易量
35%
24°C
$0 交易量
45%
25°C
$0 交易量
45%
26°C
$0 交易量
44%
27°C or higher
$5 交易量
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Chengdu on August 29 between 20–23 °C, driven by lingering cloud cover and scattered showers from the active East Asian monsoon pattern. Persistent high humidity (often above 70 %) and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling under overcast skies, while any earlier clearing or stronger northerly flow could allow the temperature to dip closer to 19 °C. Conversely, prolonged rain or thicker cloud decks would support readings nearer 25 °C by suppressing temperature drops after sunset. Historical August lows average near 22–24 °C, but the current unsettled conditions introduce modest forecast spread across guidance, keeping trader probabilities clustered tightly around the mid-20s. Updated model runs and overnight observations will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$214结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Chengdu on August 29 between 20–23 °C, driven by lingering cloud cover and scattered showers from the active East Asian monsoon pattern. Persistent high humidity (often above 70 %) and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling under overcast skies, while any earlier clearing or stronger northerly flow could allow the temperature to dip closer to 19 °C. Conversely, prolonged rain or thicker cloud decks would support readings nearer 25 °C by suppressing temperature drops after sunset. Historical August lows average near 22–24 °C, but the current unsettled conditions introduce modest forecast spread across guidance, keeping trader probabilities clustered tightly around the mid-20s. Updated model runs and overnight observations will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$214结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Chengdu on August 29 between 20–23 °C, driven by lingering cloud cover and scattered showers from the active East Asian monsoon pattern. Persistent high humidity (often above 70 %) and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling under overcast skies, while any earlier clearing or stronger northerly flow could allow the temperature to dip closer to 19 °C. Conversely, prolonged rain or thicker cloud decks would support readings nearer 25 °C by suppressing temperature drops after sunset. Historical August lows average near 22–24 °C, but the current unsettled conditions introduce modest forecast spread across guidance, keeping trader probabilities clustered tightly around the mid-20s. Updated model runs and overnight observations will be the key near-term drivers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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