Recent forecasts from multiple models show overnight lows in Chengdu settling in the low 20s Celsius on August 30 as skies clear after scattered showers on the 29th, promoting modest radiative cooling under light winds and high humidity near 80 percent at dawn. This setup aligns with late-summer patterns where typical minima hover around 22–24 °C, though local microclimates and exact dew-point trajectories introduce uncertainty across ensemble runs. Traders price 23–24 °C outcomes highest because these match the consensus range from authoritative sources, while probabilities drop sharply below 20 °C or above 26 °C given current steering patterns and limited cold-air advection. Official station readings after midnight will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日成都最低气温?
21°C 87%
18°C or below 54%
27°C 54%
23°C 49%
18°C or below
54%
19°C
23%
20°C
44%
21°C
87%
22°C
45%
23°C
49%
24°C
47%
25°C
45%
26°C
42%
27°C
54%
28°C or higher
1%
21°C 87%
18°C or below 54%
27°C 54%
23°C 49%
18°C or below
54%
19°C
23%
20°C
44%
21°C
87%
22°C
45%
23°C
49%
24°C
47%
25°C
45%
26°C
42%
27°C
54%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models show overnight lows in Chengdu settling in the low 20s Celsius on August 30 as skies clear after scattered showers on the 29th, promoting modest radiative cooling under light winds and high humidity near 80 percent at dawn. This setup aligns with late-summer patterns where typical minima hover around 22–24 °C, though local microclimates and exact dew-point trajectories introduce uncertainty across ensemble runs. Traders price 23–24 °C outcomes highest because these match the consensus range from authoritative sources, while probabilities drop sharply below 20 °C or above 26 °C given current steering patterns and limited cold-air advection. Official station readings after midnight will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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