Mexico City's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters drives cooler nighttime minima through enhanced radiative cooling under clear skies, while the ongoing rainy season often brings cloud cover that moderates temperature drops. Recent model runs show typical late-August conditions with forecast lows clustered near 12–15°C, reflecting moderate uncertainty from variable precipitation and any approaching cold fronts tracked by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Historical August records indicate average overnight lows around 11–13°C, with traders assigning near-even odds across that range due to the narrow spread between ensemble outputs and the single-day resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于墨西哥城8月31日的最低温度?
7°C或以下 53%
10°C 49%
11°C 49%
16°C 49%
7°C或以下
53%
8°C
2%
9°C
4%
10°C
49%
11°C
49%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
49%
17°C或更高
47%
7°C或以下 53%
10°C 49%
11°C 49%
16°C 49%
7°C或以下
53%
8°C
2%
9°C
4%
10°C
49%
11°C
49%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
49%
17°C或更高
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mexico City's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters drives cooler nighttime minima through enhanced radiative cooling under clear skies, while the ongoing rainy season often brings cloud cover that moderates temperature drops. Recent model runs show typical late-August conditions with forecast lows clustered near 12–15°C, reflecting moderate uncertainty from variable precipitation and any approaching cold fronts tracked by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Historical August records indicate average overnight lows around 11–13°C, with traders assigning near-even odds across that range due to the narrow spread between ensemble outputs and the single-day resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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