Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a peak temperature of 26–28°C in Tokyo on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual moisture from the prior day's rainfall that limits daytime heating. This setup deviates from late-August climatology near 30–31°C, with high humidity and overcast skies suppressing the urban heat island effect at official measurement sites. Trader consensus around these bins reflects model agreement on modest warming under partly cloudy conditions by afternoon, though small shifts in timing or clearing could alter the exact maximum. Updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and afternoon observations will provide the decisive data for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日东京气温最高？
8月30日东京气温最高？
27°C 38%
26°C 23%
28°C 23%
25°C 8%
最新
$16,566 交易量
最新
$16,566 交易量
2026-08-30
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
23%
27°C
38%
28°C
23%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
26°C 23%
28°C 23%
25°C 8%
最新
$16,566 交易量
最新
$16,566 交易量
2026-08-30
23°C or below
$1,899 交易量
<1%
24°C
$456 交易量
1%
25°C
$1,025 交易量
8%
26°C
$1,584 交易量
23%
27°C
$1,757 交易量
38%
28°C
$3,184 交易量
23%
29°C
$2,974 交易量
6%
30°C
$1,183 交易量
3%
31°C
$489 交易量
2%
32°C
$970 交易量
1%
33°C or higher
$1,062 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a peak temperature of 26–28°C in Tokyo on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual moisture from the prior day's rainfall that limits daytime heating. This setup deviates from late-August climatology near 30–31°C, with high humidity and overcast skies suppressing the urban heat island effect at official measurement sites. Trader consensus around these bins reflects model agreement on modest warming under partly cloudy conditions by afternoon, though small shifts in timing or clearing could alter the exact maximum. Updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and afternoon observations will provide the decisive data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$16,566结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a peak temperature of 26–28°C in Tokyo on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual moisture from the prior day's rainfall that limits daytime heating. This setup deviates from late-August climatology near 30–31°C, with high humidity and overcast skies suppressing the urban heat island effect at official measurement sites. Trader consensus around these bins reflects model agreement on modest warming under partly cloudy conditions by afternoon, though small shifts in timing or clearing could alter the exact maximum. Updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and afternoon observations will provide the decisive data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,566结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a peak temperature of 26–28°C in Tokyo on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual moisture from the prior day's rainfall that limits daytime heating. This setup deviates from late-August climatology near 30–31°C, with high humidity and overcast skies suppressing the urban heat island effect at official measurement sites. Trader consensus around these bins reflects model agreement on modest warming under partly cloudy conditions by afternoon, though small shifts in timing or clearing could alter the exact maximum. Updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and afternoon observations will provide the decisive data for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题