Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo will experience cloudy conditions with scattered showers on August 29 under northeast flow, moderating temperatures after recent highs near 32–33°C. Model consensus and ensemble guidance point to a daily maximum in the 26–29°C range, with cloud cover and precipitation timing as the main variables limiting peak heating. This reflects the influence of an autumn rain front pattern suppressing insolation compared to typical late-August climatology near 31°C. Trader emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes aligns with this narrow spread, while lower-probability extremes hinge on whether breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming or heavier rain arrives earlier. Updated JMA guidance and observational data tomorrow will determine the precise maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日东京气温最高？
8月29日东京气温最高？
27°C 37%
28°C 29%
26°C 15%
29°C 8%
最新
$11,735 交易量
最新
$11,735 交易量
2026-08-29
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
15%
27°C
37%
28°C
29%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
28°C 29%
26°C 15%
29°C 8%
最新
$11,735 交易量
最新
$11,735 交易量
2026-08-29
22°C or below
$1,251 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,191 交易量
<1%
24°C
$598 交易量
1%
25°C
$411 交易量
6%
26°C
$2,632 交易量
15%
27°C
$1,371 交易量
37%
28°C
$1,249 交易量
29%
29°C
$1,636 交易量
8%
30°C
$888 交易量
3%
31°C
$115 交易量
1%
32°C or higher
$473 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo will experience cloudy conditions with scattered showers on August 29 under northeast flow, moderating temperatures after recent highs near 32–33°C. Model consensus and ensemble guidance point to a daily maximum in the 26–29°C range, with cloud cover and precipitation timing as the main variables limiting peak heating. This reflects the influence of an autumn rain front pattern suppressing insolation compared to typical late-August climatology near 31°C. Trader emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes aligns with this narrow spread, while lower-probability extremes hinge on whether breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming or heavier rain arrives earlier. Updated JMA guidance and observational data tomorrow will determine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$11,735结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo will experience cloudy conditions with scattered showers on August 29 under northeast flow, moderating temperatures after recent highs near 32–33°C. Model consensus and ensemble guidance point to a daily maximum in the 26–29°C range, with cloud cover and precipitation timing as the main variables limiting peak heating. This reflects the influence of an autumn rain front pattern suppressing insolation compared to typical late-August climatology near 31°C. Trader emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes aligns with this narrow spread, while lower-probability extremes hinge on whether breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming or heavier rain arrives earlier. Updated JMA guidance and observational data tomorrow will determine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,735结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo will experience cloudy conditions with scattered showers on August 29 under northeast flow, moderating temperatures after recent highs near 32–33°C. Model consensus and ensemble guidance point to a daily maximum in the 26–29°C range, with cloud cover and precipitation timing as the main variables limiting peak heating. This reflects the influence of an autumn rain front pattern suppressing insolation compared to typical late-August climatology near 31°C. Trader emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes aligns with this narrow spread, while lower-probability extremes hinge on whether breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming or heavier rain arrives earlier. Updated JMA guidance and observational data tomorrow will determine the precise maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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