Current high-pressure dominance over central Europe and associated southerly flow are positioning Warsaw for a maximum near 27°C on August 30, aligning with the leading market-implied odds of 49% for that outcome. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, allowing daytime heating to reach the upper 20s while overnight lows stay around 14–18°C. Recent warming trends under the ridge have lifted probabilities for 26–28°C into the combined 80+% range, though minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the precise peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and IMGW briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the final observational calibration ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月30日最高气温？
华沙8月30日最高气温？
27°C 50%
26°C 29%
28°C 18%
25°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
29%
27°C
50%
28°C
18%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 50%
26°C 29%
28°C 18%
25°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
21°C or below
$251 交易量
<1%
22°C
$65 交易量
<1%
23°C
$0 交易量
1%
24°C
$0 交易量
3%
25°C
$65 交易量
6%
26°C
$292 交易量
29%
27°C
$232 交易量
50%
28°C
$203 交易量
18%
29°C
$105 交易量
3%
30°C
$0 交易量
2%
31°C or higher
$263 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current high-pressure dominance over central Europe and associated southerly flow are positioning Warsaw for a maximum near 27°C on August 30, aligning with the leading market-implied odds of 49% for that outcome. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, allowing daytime heating to reach the upper 20s while overnight lows stay around 14–18°C. Recent warming trends under the ridge have lifted probabilities for 26–28°C into the combined 80+% range, though minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the precise peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and IMGW briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the final observational calibration ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$1,476结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current high-pressure dominance over central Europe and associated southerly flow are positioning Warsaw for a maximum near 27°C on August 30, aligning with the leading market-implied odds of 49% for that outcome. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, allowing daytime heating to reach the upper 20s while overnight lows stay around 14–18°C. Recent warming trends under the ridge have lifted probabilities for 26–28°C into the combined 80+% range, though minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the precise peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and IMGW briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the final observational calibration ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,476结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent high-pressure dominance over central Europe and associated southerly flow are positioning Warsaw for a maximum near 27°C on August 30, aligning with the leading market-implied odds of 49% for that outcome. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, allowing daytime heating to reach the upper 20s while overnight lows stay around 14–18°C. Recent warming trends under the ridge have lifted probabilities for 26–28°C into the combined 80+% range, though minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the precise peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and IMGW briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the final observational calibration ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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