**Latest AEMET and numerical weather model guidance point to a maximum temperature of 25–27 °C in Madrid on 28 August, with 27 °C carrying the highest market-implied probability at 45 %.** Clear skies and light southwesterly winds are expected after Thursday’s cooler, rain-affected day, allowing modest daytime heating under high pressure. Model consensus (GFS and ECMWF runs) shows afternoon peaks near 26–27 °C at representative stations, consistent with the current cooler-than-average late-summer pattern driven by Atlantic airflow. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 30–31 °C, but recent westerly steering and lower dew points have suppressed readings, reducing upside risk to 28 °C or above. Updated short-range forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and determine whether the distribution shifts toward the tightly clustered 26–28 °C outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日马德里气温最高？
8月28日马德里气温最高？
27°C 45%
26°C 23%
28°C 23%
25°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
23%
27°C
45%
28°C
23%
29°C
7%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 45%
26°C 23%
28°C 23%
25°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
22°C or below
$5 交易量
1%
23°C
$5 交易量
1%
24°C
$113 交易量
1%
25°C
$43 交易量
8%
26°C
$139 交易量
23%
27°C
$113 交易量
45%
28°C
$125 交易量
23%
29°C
$10 交易量
7%
30°C
$5 交易量
4%
31°C
$5 交易量
1%
32°C or higher
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest AEMET and numerical weather model guidance point to a maximum temperature of 25–27 °C in Madrid on 28 August, with 27 °C carrying the highest market-implied probability at 45 %.** Clear skies and light southwesterly winds are expected after Thursday’s cooler, rain-affected day, allowing modest daytime heating under high pressure. Model consensus (GFS and ECMWF runs) shows afternoon peaks near 26–27 °C at representative stations, consistent with the current cooler-than-average late-summer pattern driven by Atlantic airflow. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 30–31 °C, but recent westerly steering and lower dew points have suppressed readings, reducing upside risk to 28 °C or above. Updated short-range forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and determine whether the distribution shifts toward the tightly clustered 26–28 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$566结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest AEMET and numerical weather model guidance point to a maximum temperature of 25–27 °C in Madrid on 28 August, with 27 °C carrying the highest market-implied probability at 45 %.** Clear skies and light southwesterly winds are expected after Thursday’s cooler, rain-affected day, allowing modest daytime heating under high pressure. Model consensus (GFS and ECMWF runs) shows afternoon peaks near 26–27 °C at representative stations, consistent with the current cooler-than-average late-summer pattern driven by Atlantic airflow. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 30–31 °C, but recent westerly steering and lower dew points have suppressed readings, reducing upside risk to 28 °C or above. Updated short-range forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and determine whether the distribution shifts toward the tightly clustered 26–28 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$566结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Latest AEMET and numerical weather model guidance point to a maximum temperature of 25–27 °C in Madrid on 28 August, with 27 °C carrying the highest market-implied probability at 45 %.** Clear skies and light southwesterly winds are expected after Thursday’s cooler, rain-affected day, allowing modest daytime heating under high pressure. Model consensus (GFS and ECMWF runs) shows afternoon peaks near 26–27 °C at representative stations, consistent with the current cooler-than-average late-summer pattern driven by Atlantic airflow. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 30–31 °C, but recent westerly steering and lower dew points have suppressed readings, reducing upside risk to 28 °C or above. Updated short-range forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and determine whether the distribution shifts toward the tightly clustered 26–28 °C outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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