Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington project a daytime high of 15°C on August 26 under initially fine conditions with strengthening northwesterlies, shifting to cloudier skies and showers by evening. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 15–16°C outcomes, as northerly flows often deliver milder winter air masses to the region compared to typical August averages near 13–14°C. Recent observations, including a 17°C peak on August 23, underscore short-term variability driven by wind direction and pressure patterns, while model consensus points to limited further warming before the evening transition. Traders appear to price in this forecast consensus alongside Wellington's exposure to rapid changes from frontal systems, with minimal probability assigned to extremes below 14°C or above 17°C given current steering patterns and climatological bounds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月26日惠灵顿的最高温度？
16°C 60%
15°C 32%
17°C 8%
18°C 2%
最新
$23,587 交易量
最新
$23,587 交易量
2026-08-26
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
32%
16°C
60%
17°C
8%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 60%
15°C 32%
17°C 8%
18°C 2%
最新
$23,587 交易量
最新
$23,587 交易量
2026-08-26
10°C or below
$1,332 交易量
<1%
11°C
$289 交易量
<1%
12°C
$1,333 交易量
<1%
13°C
$680 交易量
1%
14°C
$2,103 交易量
1%
15°C
$6,904 交易量
32%
16°C
$4,154 交易量
60%
17°C
$4,253 交易量
8%
18°C
$2,020 交易量
2%
19°C
$252 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$269 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington project a daytime high of 15°C on August 26 under initially fine conditions with strengthening northwesterlies, shifting to cloudier skies and showers by evening. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 15–16°C outcomes, as northerly flows often deliver milder winter air masses to the region compared to typical August averages near 13–14°C. Recent observations, including a 17°C peak on August 23, underscore short-term variability driven by wind direction and pressure patterns, while model consensus points to limited further warming before the evening transition. Traders appear to price in this forecast consensus alongside Wellington's exposure to rapid changes from frontal systems, with minimal probability assigned to extremes below 14°C or above 17°C given current steering patterns and climatological bounds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$23,587结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington project a daytime high of 15°C on August 26 under initially fine conditions with strengthening northwesterlies, shifting to cloudier skies and showers by evening. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 15–16°C outcomes, as northerly flows often deliver milder winter air masses to the region compared to typical August averages near 13–14°C. Recent observations, including a 17°C peak on August 23, underscore short-term variability driven by wind direction and pressure patterns, while model consensus points to limited further warming before the evening transition. Traders appear to price in this forecast consensus alongside Wellington's exposure to rapid changes from frontal systems, with minimal probability assigned to extremes below 14°C or above 17°C given current steering patterns and climatological bounds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23,587结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent MetService forecasts for Wellington project a daytime high of 15°C on August 26 under initially fine conditions with strengthening northwesterlies, shifting to cloudier skies and showers by evening. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 15–16°C outcomes, as northerly flows often deliver milder winter air masses to the region compared to typical August averages near 13–14°C. Recent observations, including a 17°C peak on August 23, underscore short-term variability driven by wind direction and pressure patterns, while model consensus points to limited further warming before the evening transition. Traders appear to price in this forecast consensus alongside Wellington's exposure to rapid changes from frontal systems, with minimal probability assigned to extremes below 14°C or above 17°C given current steering patterns and climatological bounds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题