**Current forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Wellington of 15–16°C on August 25, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 16°C (52.5%) and 17°C (27.5%).** Northwesterly winds, typical for the region, are expected to moderate temperatures by advecting milder air from the Tasman Sea, while mostly fine conditions and limited cloud cover support daytime warming above the August climatological average of roughly 12–13°C. Official guidance from MetService and international models (e.g., Met Office) currently project a high near 15°C with low precipitation risk, though ensemble spreads allow for modest upward revisions if winds strengthen or insolation increases. Recent NIWA seasonal outlooks note temperatures are equally likely to be near or above average through late winter, providing a mild baseline that traders have incorporated into probabilities. Shifts in model consensus over the next 24 hours—particularly updated runs addressing wind speed or frontal timing—remain the key variable that could adjust implied odds between the 15°C and 17°C brackets before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月25日惠灵顿的最高温度？
16°C 53%
17°C 28%
15°C 14%
18°C 4%
最新
$13,256 交易量
最新
$13,256 交易量
2026-08-25
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
14%
16°C
53%
17°C
28%
18°C
4%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 53%
17°C 28%
15°C 14%
18°C 4%
最新
$13,256 交易量
最新
$13,256 交易量
2026-08-25
10°C or below
$650 交易量
<1%
11°C
$521 交易量
<1%
12°C
$239 交易量
<1%
13°C
$252 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,048 交易量
2%
15°C
$2,164 交易量
14%
16°C
$3,643 交易量
53%
17°C
$2,303 交易量
28%
18°C
$937 交易量
4%
19°C
$238 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$1,261 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Wellington of 15–16°C on August 25, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 16°C (52.5%) and 17°C (27.5%).** Northwesterly winds, typical for the region, are expected to moderate temperatures by advecting milder air from the Tasman Sea, while mostly fine conditions and limited cloud cover support daytime warming above the August climatological average of roughly 12–13°C. Official guidance from MetService and international models (e.g., Met Office) currently project a high near 15°C with low precipitation risk, though ensemble spreads allow for modest upward revisions if winds strengthen or insolation increases. Recent NIWA seasonal outlooks note temperatures are equally likely to be near or above average through late winter, providing a mild baseline that traders have incorporated into probabilities. Shifts in model consensus over the next 24 hours—particularly updated runs addressing wind speed or frontal timing—remain the key variable that could adjust implied odds between the 15°C and 17°C brackets before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$13,256结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Wellington of 15–16°C on August 25, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 16°C (52.5%) and 17°C (27.5%).** Northwesterly winds, typical for the region, are expected to moderate temperatures by advecting milder air from the Tasman Sea, while mostly fine conditions and limited cloud cover support daytime warming above the August climatological average of roughly 12–13°C. Official guidance from MetService and international models (e.g., Met Office) currently project a high near 15°C with low precipitation risk, though ensemble spreads allow for modest upward revisions if winds strengthen or insolation increases. Recent NIWA seasonal outlooks note temperatures are equally likely to be near or above average through late winter, providing a mild baseline that traders have incorporated into probabilities. Shifts in model consensus over the next 24 hours—particularly updated runs addressing wind speed or frontal timing—remain the key variable that could adjust implied odds between the 15°C and 17°C brackets before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,256结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Current forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Wellington of 15–16°C on August 25, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 16°C (52.5%) and 17°C (27.5%).** Northwesterly winds, typical for the region, are expected to moderate temperatures by advecting milder air from the Tasman Sea, while mostly fine conditions and limited cloud cover support daytime warming above the August climatological average of roughly 12–13°C. Official guidance from MetService and international models (e.g., Met Office) currently project a high near 15°C with low precipitation risk, though ensemble spreads allow for modest upward revisions if winds strengthen or insolation increases. Recent NIWA seasonal outlooks note temperatures are equally likely to be near or above average through late winter, providing a mild baseline that traders have incorporated into probabilities. Shifts in model consensus over the next 24 hours—particularly updated runs addressing wind speed or frontal timing—remain the key variable that could adjust implied odds between the 15°C and 17°C brackets before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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