Trader sentiment for Beijing's August 26 high clusters tightly around 25–27°C because ensemble forecasts from NOAA and Chinese meteorological agencies show a modest cooling trend late in the month, with daytime maxima near 30°C giving way to possible cloud cover and scattered showers that cap peaks. Recent surface observations indicate weakening high pressure and increasing humidity, while model spread centers on whether afternoon convection or clearer skies prevail—key variables that differentiate 25°C versus 27°C outcomes. Historical late-August averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet current steering patterns favor slightly lower readings, leaving traders focused on the next 48-hour model runs for resolution clarity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日北京气温最高?
26°C 27%
27°C 24%
24°C 16%
25°C 16%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
16%
25°C
16%
26°C
27%
27°C
24%
28°C
12%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
8%
26°C 27%
27°C 24%
24°C 16%
25°C 16%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
16%
25°C
16%
26°C
27%
27°C
24%
28°C
12%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Beijing's August 26 high clusters tightly around 25–27°C because ensemble forecasts from NOAA and Chinese meteorological agencies show a modest cooling trend late in the month, with daytime maxima near 30°C giving way to possible cloud cover and scattered showers that cap peaks. Recent surface observations indicate weakening high pressure and increasing humidity, while model spread centers on whether afternoon convection or clearer skies prevail—key variables that differentiate 25°C versus 27°C outcomes. Historical late-August averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet current steering patterns favor slightly lower readings, leaving traders focused on the next 48-hour model runs for resolution clarity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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