Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a moderating Atlantic flow with southwest winds and partly cloudy skies over Madrid, supporting maximum temperatures clustered around 27–29°C on August 26. This consensus reflects a post-heatwave cooldown following earlier August peaks near 38°C, with current observations showing daytime highs near 27–28°C and minimal precipitation risk. Ensemble spreads and historical late-August baselines near 31°C position 29°C as the mode, while slight upward model variance sustains secondary probability on 30°C and a narrower tail on 28°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine any final adjustments from diurnal heating or cloud cover.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日马德里气温最高？
8月26日马德里气温最高？
29°C 51%
30°C 25%
28°C 16%
31°C 4%
最新
$10,400 交易量
最新
$10,400 交易量
2026-08-26
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
51%
30°C
25%
31°C
4%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 51%
30°C 25%
28°C 16%
31°C 4%
最新
$10,400 交易量
最新
$10,400 交易量
2026-08-26
25°C or below
$226 交易量
1%
26°C
$105 交易量
1%
27°C
$533 交易量
4%
28°C
$3,090 交易量
16%
29°C
$1,042 交易量
51%
30°C
$4,261 交易量
25%
31°C
$478 交易量
4%
32°C
$141 交易量
<1%
33°C
$130 交易量
<1%
34°C
$85 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$308 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a moderating Atlantic flow with southwest winds and partly cloudy skies over Madrid, supporting maximum temperatures clustered around 27–29°C on August 26. This consensus reflects a post-heatwave cooldown following earlier August peaks near 38°C, with current observations showing daytime highs near 27–28°C and minimal precipitation risk. Ensemble spreads and historical late-August baselines near 31°C position 29°C as the mode, while slight upward model variance sustains secondary probability on 30°C and a narrower tail on 28°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine any final adjustments from diurnal heating or cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$10,400结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a moderating Atlantic flow with southwest winds and partly cloudy skies over Madrid, supporting maximum temperatures clustered around 27–29°C on August 26. This consensus reflects a post-heatwave cooldown following earlier August peaks near 38°C, with current observations showing daytime highs near 27–28°C and minimal precipitation risk. Ensemble spreads and historical late-August baselines near 31°C position 29°C as the mode, while slight upward model variance sustains secondary probability on 30°C and a narrower tail on 28°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine any final adjustments from diurnal heating or cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,400结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a moderating Atlantic flow with southwest winds and partly cloudy skies over Madrid, supporting maximum temperatures clustered around 27–29°C on August 26. This consensus reflects a post-heatwave cooldown following earlier August peaks near 38°C, with current observations showing daytime highs near 27–28°C and minimal precipitation risk. Ensemble spreads and historical late-August baselines near 31°C position 29°C as the mode, while slight upward model variance sustains secondary probability on 30°C and a narrower tail on 28°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine any final adjustments from diurnal heating or cloud cover.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题