Recent forecasts for São Paulo indicate overnight lows near 12–16°C on August 26 amid lingering effects from a mid-August cold front that suppressed temperatures earlier in the week. Variable cloud cover and light winds limit radiative cooling, while model runs diverge on exact minimums due to differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention. These factors produce tightly clustered market-implied odds around 13–16°C, with traders weighing official agency guidance against ensemble spread in steering patterns and dew-point forecasts. Updated model runs and local observations through dawn will likely refine the final recorded low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日圣保罗的最低温度？
8月26日圣保罗的最低温度？
15°C 31%
13°C 31%
16°C 26%
14°C 24%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
4%
12°C
1%
13°C
31%
14°C
24%
15°C
31%
16°C
26%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
15°C 31%
13°C 31%
16°C 26%
14°C 24%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
10°C或以下
$655 交易量
<1%
11°C
$5 交易量
4%
12°C
$79 交易量
1%
13°C
$7 交易量
31%
14°C
$2 交易量
24%
15°C
$0 交易量
31%
16°C
$0 交易量
26%
17°C
$242 交易量
<1%
18°C
$72 交易量
<1%
19°C
$50 交易量
<1%
20°C或更高
$45 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for São Paulo indicate overnight lows near 12–16°C on August 26 amid lingering effects from a mid-August cold front that suppressed temperatures earlier in the week. Variable cloud cover and light winds limit radiative cooling, while model runs diverge on exact minimums due to differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention. These factors produce tightly clustered market-implied odds around 13–16°C, with traders weighing official agency guidance against ensemble spread in steering patterns and dew-point forecasts. Updated model runs and local observations through dawn will likely refine the final recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$1,157结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for São Paulo indicate overnight lows near 12–16°C on August 26 amid lingering effects from a mid-August cold front that suppressed temperatures earlier in the week. Variable cloud cover and light winds limit radiative cooling, while model runs diverge on exact minimums due to differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention. These factors produce tightly clustered market-implied odds around 13–16°C, with traders weighing official agency guidance against ensemble spread in steering patterns and dew-point forecasts. Updated model runs and local observations through dawn will likely refine the final recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,157结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETRecent forecasts for São Paulo indicate overnight lows near 12–16°C on August 26 amid lingering effects from a mid-August cold front that suppressed temperatures earlier in the week. Variable cloud cover and light winds limit radiative cooling, while model runs diverge on exact minimums due to differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention. These factors produce tightly clustered market-implied odds around 13–16°C, with traders weighing official agency guidance against ensemble spread in steering patterns and dew-point forecasts. Updated model runs and local observations through dawn will likely refine the final recorded low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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