Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 26 project a maximum near 32°C in the Seoul-Incheon area under mostly cloudy skies with only a 20% precipitation chance and light easterly winds. Late-August climatology shows typical highs declining from 29°C to 27°C as solar angles decrease and monsoon influences wane, yet persistent warm-air advection and urban heat-island effects are sustaining readings in the low 30s. Model consensus places the daily peak between 30–32°C, with cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing introducing the main uncertainty; any earlier or thicker cloud cover could cap the high at 29–30°C. Trader positioning around 29–31°C reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the resolution criteria tied to official Incheon station observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日首尔(仁川)气温最高?
30°C 40%
31°C 27%
29°C 23%
28°C 5%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
23%
30°C
40%
31°C
27%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 40%
31°C 27%
29°C 23%
28°C 5%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
23%
30°C
40%
31°C
27%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 26 project a maximum near 32°C in the Seoul-Incheon area under mostly cloudy skies with only a 20% precipitation chance and light easterly winds. Late-August climatology shows typical highs declining from 29°C to 27°C as solar angles decrease and monsoon influences wane, yet persistent warm-air advection and urban heat-island effects are sustaining readings in the low 30s. Model consensus places the daily peak between 30–32°C, with cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing introducing the main uncertainty; any earlier or thicker cloud cover could cap the high at 29–30°C. Trader positioning around 29–31°C reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the resolution criteria tied to official Incheon station observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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