Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project an overnight low near 24°C for Incheon/Seoul on August 26 under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds and only 20% precipitation chance, limiting clear-sky radiative cooling that typically drives sharper drops. This aligns with late-August climatology showing average minima of 22–25°C amid lingering summer humidity, yet recent model runs and short-term trends suggest modest warming influences from daytime highs near 32°C could nudge the actual minimum upward. With 25°C and 26°C outcomes dominating at 37.5% and 41% implied probability, traders are pricing the narrow scientific uncertainty around exact boundary-layer mixing and cloud persistence, with resolution hinging on the official daily minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日首尔(仁川)气温最低?
26°C 42%
25°C 38%
27°C 18%
24°C 12%
21°C或以下
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
12%
25°C
38%
26°C
42%
27°C
18%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C或以上
2%
26°C 42%
25°C 38%
27°C 18%
24°C 12%
21°C或以下
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
12%
25°C
38%
26°C
42%
27°C
18%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project an overnight low near 24°C for Incheon/Seoul on August 26 under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds and only 20% precipitation chance, limiting clear-sky radiative cooling that typically drives sharper drops. This aligns with late-August climatology showing average minima of 22–25°C amid lingering summer humidity, yet recent model runs and short-term trends suggest modest warming influences from daytime highs near 32°C could nudge the actual minimum upward. With 25°C and 26°C outcomes dominating at 37.5% and 41% implied probability, traders are pricing the narrow scientific uncertainty around exact boundary-layer mixing and cloud persistence, with resolution hinging on the official daily minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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