Recent GFS and European model consensus points to a high of 19–21°C in Munich on August 25 as the main driver behind the tight market spread, with 20°C and 21°C leading at 31.5% and 25.5%. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, tied to a weak Atlantic trough, will limit daytime heating and suppress the maximum temperature relative to the prior days' clearer, warmer conditions near 23–24°C. Key variables include the exact timing and coverage of precipitation, which can shave 1–2°C off peaks depending on model resolution of convective timing, plus modest west-to-northwest flow aiding modest mixing. Official DWD updates and the next ECMWF run will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日慕尼黑的最高温度？
8月25日慕尼黑的最高温度？
20°C 32%
21°C 26%
19°C 19%
22°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
19%
20°C
32%
21°C
26%
22°C
10%
23°C or higher
6%
20°C 32%
21°C 26%
19°C 19%
22°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
13°C or below
$12 交易量
<1%
14°C
$11 交易量
<1%
15°C
$30 交易量
<1%
16°C
$5 交易量
1%
17°C
$62 交易量
2%
18°C
$52 交易量
7%
19°C
$143 交易量
19%
20°C
$233 交易量
32%
21°C
$108 交易量
26%
22°C
$439 交易量
10%
23°C or higher
$372 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and European model consensus points to a high of 19–21°C in Munich on August 25 as the main driver behind the tight market spread, with 20°C and 21°C leading at 31.5% and 25.5%. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, tied to a weak Atlantic trough, will limit daytime heating and suppress the maximum temperature relative to the prior days' clearer, warmer conditions near 23–24°C. Key variables include the exact timing and coverage of precipitation, which can shave 1–2°C off peaks depending on model resolution of convective timing, plus modest west-to-northwest flow aiding modest mixing. Official DWD updates and the next ECMWF run will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,468结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and European model consensus points to a high of 19–21°C in Munich on August 25 as the main driver behind the tight market spread, with 20°C and 21°C leading at 31.5% and 25.5%. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, tied to a weak Atlantic trough, will limit daytime heating and suppress the maximum temperature relative to the prior days' clearer, warmer conditions near 23–24°C. Key variables include the exact timing and coverage of precipitation, which can shave 1–2°C off peaks depending on model resolution of convective timing, plus modest west-to-northwest flow aiding modest mixing. Official DWD updates and the next ECMWF run will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,468结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent GFS and European model consensus points to a high of 19–21°C in Munich on August 25 as the main driver behind the tight market spread, with 20°C and 21°C leading at 31.5% and 25.5%. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, tied to a weak Atlantic trough, will limit daytime heating and suppress the maximum temperature relative to the prior days' clearer, warmer conditions near 23–24°C. Key variables include the exact timing and coverage of precipitation, which can shave 1–2°C off peaks depending on model resolution of convective timing, plus modest west-to-northwest flow aiding modest mixing. Official DWD updates and the next ECMWF run will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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