Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas indicate a high near 104°F on August 26 under mostly sunny skies, with heat index values reaching 107 amid southerly flow and ongoing extreme heat driven by a strong high-pressure ridge. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 100-103°F outcomes, reflecting slight model uncertainty from an approaching weak cold front that could introduce modest cooling or isolated afternoon convection while still sustaining triple-digit readings well above the 95°F climatological average. Persistent drought and minimal cloud cover have amplified daytime heating in recent days, with highs near 105-109°F observed, though forecasters note potential for minor revisions in afternoon model runs as steering patterns evolve. Traders appear to weigh these NWS consensus values and historical August extremes against the risk of any frontal passage tempering the peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日达拉斯的最高温度?
100-101°F 37%
102-103°F 27%
98-99°F 19%
104-105°F 12%
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
19%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
27%
104-105°F
12%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
2%
114°F or higher
1%
100-101°F 37%
102-103°F 27%
98-99°F 19%
104-105°F 12%
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
19%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
27%
104-105°F
12%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
2%
114°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas indicate a high near 104°F on August 26 under mostly sunny skies, with heat index values reaching 107 amid southerly flow and ongoing extreme heat driven by a strong high-pressure ridge. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 100-103°F outcomes, reflecting slight model uncertainty from an approaching weak cold front that could introduce modest cooling or isolated afternoon convection while still sustaining triple-digit readings well above the 95°F climatological average. Persistent drought and minimal cloud cover have amplified daytime heating in recent days, with highs near 105-109°F observed, though forecasters note potential for minor revisions in afternoon model runs as steering patterns evolve. Traders appear to weigh these NWS consensus values and historical August extremes against the risk of any frontal passage tempering the peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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