National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Dallas high near 106°F on August 25 under persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southwesterly winds with dew points in the upper 50s that enable strong daytime heating. This setup follows several days exceeding 107°F and an active extreme heat warning, keeping readings well above the late-August climatological average of roughly 95°F. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 104–105°F and 102–103°F outcomes, reflecting minor model spread and typical verification uncertainty around official maxima, while lower odds on 106–107°F capture the possibility of slight upward revisions from ongoing heat-wave conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日达拉斯的最高温度?
104-105°F 46%
102-103°F 30%
106-107°F 16%
100-101°F 6.0%
$10,213 交易量
$10,213 交易量
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
30%
104-105°F
46%
106-107°F
16%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 46%
102-103°F 30%
106-107°F 16%
100-101°F 6.0%
$10,213 交易量
$10,213 交易量
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
30%
104-105°F
46%
106-107°F
16%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Dallas high near 106°F on August 25 under persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southwesterly winds with dew points in the upper 50s that enable strong daytime heating. This setup follows several days exceeding 107°F and an active extreme heat warning, keeping readings well above the late-August climatological average of roughly 95°F. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 104–105°F and 102–103°F outcomes, reflecting minor model spread and typical verification uncertainty around official maxima, while lower odds on 106–107°F capture the possibility of slight upward revisions from ongoing heat-wave conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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