Official meteorological observations from stations across Mexico City, including those tracked by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, recorded a minimum temperature of 13.2°C on August 26, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-event model consensus under clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions that permitted standard radiative cooling at the city's high elevation. This outcome reflects typical late-August patterns, where minimums often settle near 12–14°C absent strong cold fronts or heavy precipitation, and trader positioning at 99.5% implied probability for 13°C incorporates the high reliability of surface station data used for market resolution. Uncertainties such as microclimate variations at specific reporting sites or post-event data revisions remain possible but would require atypical discrepancies beyond historical norms to shift the result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于墨西哥城8月26日的最低温度？
墨西哥城8月26日的最低温度？
13°C 100.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$2,782 交易量
$2,782 交易量
2026-08-26
9°C或以下
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
是
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C或更高
否
13°C 100.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$2,782 交易量
$2,782 交易量
2026-08-26
9°C或以下
$48 交易量
否
10°C
$61 交易量
否
11°C
$35 交易量
否
12°C
$50 交易量
否
13°C
$660 交易量
是
14°C
$107 交易量
否
15°C
$256 交易量
否
16°C
$55 交易量
否
17°C
$276 交易量
否
18°C
$50 交易量
否
19°C或更高
$1,183 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from stations across Mexico City, including those tracked by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, recorded a minimum temperature of 13.2°C on August 26, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-event model consensus under clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions that permitted standard radiative cooling at the city's high elevation. This outcome reflects typical late-August patterns, where minimums often settle near 12–14°C absent strong cold fronts or heavy precipitation, and trader positioning at 99.5% implied probability for 13°C incorporates the high reliability of surface station data used for market resolution. Uncertainties such as microclimate variations at specific reporting sites or post-event data revisions remain possible but would require atypical discrepancies beyond historical norms to shift the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$2,782结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from stations across Mexico City, including those tracked by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, recorded a minimum temperature of 13.2°C on August 26, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-event model consensus under clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions that permitted standard radiative cooling at the city's high elevation. This outcome reflects typical late-August patterns, where minimums often settle near 12–14°C absent strong cold fronts or heavy precipitation, and trader positioning at 99.5% implied probability for 13°C incorporates the high reliability of surface station data used for market resolution. Uncertainties such as microclimate variations at specific reporting sites or post-event data revisions remain possible but would require atypical discrepancies beyond historical norms to shift the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,782结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official meteorological observations from stations across Mexico City, including those tracked by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, recorded a minimum temperature of 13.2°C on August 26, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-event model consensus under clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions that permitted standard radiative cooling at the city's high elevation. This outcome reflects typical late-August patterns, where minimums often settle near 12–14°C absent strong cold fronts or heavy precipitation, and trader positioning at 99.5% implied probability for 13°C incorporates the high reliability of surface station data used for market resolution. Uncertainties such as microclimate variations at specific reporting sites or post-event data revisions remain possible but would require atypical discrepancies beyond historical norms to shift the result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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