National Weather Service forecasts for August 29, 2026, indicate sunny skies and light northerly winds across the New York City area, supporting a daytime high near 80°F at key stations such as LaGuardia and Central Park. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs reach about 81°F, though recent model runs show minor spreads between the upper 70s and low 80s depending on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. The closely matched market-implied odds between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins reflect this narrow uncertainty range in official guidance and observational data, with traders weighting real-time station readings against ensemble consensus while noting limited afternoon convection risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月29日的最高温度?
78-79°F 48%
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 6%
76-77°F 5%
$23,933 交易量
$23,933 交易量
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
48%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 48%
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 6%
76-77°F 5%
$23,933 交易量
$23,933 交易量
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
48%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts for August 29, 2026, indicate sunny skies and light northerly winds across the New York City area, supporting a daytime high near 80°F at key stations such as LaGuardia and Central Park. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs reach about 81°F, though recent model runs show minor spreads between the upper 70s and low 80s depending on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. The closely matched market-implied odds between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins reflect this narrow uncertainty range in official guidance and observational data, with traders weighting real-time station readings against ensemble consensus while noting limited afternoon convection risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题