**Trader sentiment for Wellington’s highest temperature on August 29 centers on a 14–16 °C range, with 15 °C holding a 69.5 % market-implied probability.** Recent MetService and international model guidance indicate northerly to northwesterly winds will advect milder maritime air over the region after today’s front clears, supporting daytime temperatures near 14–15 °C under mostly sunny skies. Historical climatology for late August places average highs around 13 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the wind direction and reduced cloud cover. Ensemble consistency across runs, combined with the short lead time to resolution, keeps lower and higher outliers at minimal probabilities while reinforcing the central outcome. Updated official forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final data point for any late shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月29日惠灵顿的最高温度？
15°C 70%
14°C 16%
16°C 15%
17°C 3%
最新
$29,305 交易量
最新
$29,305 交易量
2026-08-29
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
16%
15°C
70%
16°C
15%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 70%
14°C 16%
16°C 15%
17°C 3%
最新
$29,305 交易量
最新
$29,305 交易量
2026-08-29
9°C or below
$900 交易量
<1%
10°C
$2,860 交易量
<1%
11°C
$345 交易量
<1%
12°C
$1,050 交易量
<1%
13°C
$426 交易量
<1%
14°C
$6,670 交易量
16%
15°C
$5,122 交易量
70%
16°C
$4,410 交易量
15%
17°C
$3,768 交易量
3%
18°C
$3,558 交易量
<1%
19°C or higher
$196 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wellington’s highest temperature on August 29 centers on a 14–16 °C range, with 15 °C holding a 69.5 % market-implied probability.** Recent MetService and international model guidance indicate northerly to northwesterly winds will advect milder maritime air over the region after today’s front clears, supporting daytime temperatures near 14–15 °C under mostly sunny skies. Historical climatology for late August places average highs around 13 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the wind direction and reduced cloud cover. Ensemble consistency across runs, combined with the short lead time to resolution, keeps lower and higher outliers at minimal probabilities while reinforcing the central outcome. Updated official forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final data point for any late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$29,305结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wellington’s highest temperature on August 29 centers on a 14–16 °C range, with 15 °C holding a 69.5 % market-implied probability.** Recent MetService and international model guidance indicate northerly to northwesterly winds will advect milder maritime air over the region after today’s front clears, supporting daytime temperatures near 14–15 °C under mostly sunny skies. Historical climatology for late August places average highs around 13 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the wind direction and reduced cloud cover. Ensemble consistency across runs, combined with the short lead time to resolution, keeps lower and higher outliers at minimal probabilities while reinforcing the central outcome. Updated official forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final data point for any late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29,305结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Wellington’s highest temperature on August 29 centers on a 14–16 °C range, with 15 °C holding a 69.5 % market-implied probability.** Recent MetService and international model guidance indicate northerly to northwesterly winds will advect milder maritime air over the region after today’s front clears, supporting daytime temperatures near 14–15 °C under mostly sunny skies. Historical climatology for late August places average highs around 13 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the wind direction and reduced cloud cover. Ensemble consistency across runs, combined with the short lead time to resolution, keeps lower and higher outliers at minimal probabilities while reinforcing the central outcome. Updated official forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final data point for any late shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题