Recent forecast updates from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwesterly winds moderating daytime heating in Amsterdam for August 28, producing maximum temperatures clustered around 21–24°C. This unsettled pattern follows warmer, clearer conditions the prior day and aligns with seasonal late-summer norms of frequent Atlantic moisture. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 22°C and 23°C because ensemble guidance shows limited diurnal warming potential under overcast skies, with only brief breaks possible around midday. Key variables differentiating outcomes include exact timing of any convective cells, wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture, which official agencies continue to refine through updated runs ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日阿姆斯特丹气温最高?
23°C 38%
22°C 34%
24°C 14%
21°C 10%
$10,447 交易量
$10,447 交易量
16°C或以下
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
34%
23°C
38%
24°C
14%
25°C
1%
26°C或更高
1%
23°C 38%
22°C 34%
24°C 14%
21°C 10%
$10,447 交易量
$10,447 交易量
16°C或以下
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
34%
23°C
38%
24°C
14%
25°C
1%
26°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast updates from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwesterly winds moderating daytime heating in Amsterdam for August 28, producing maximum temperatures clustered around 21–24°C. This unsettled pattern follows warmer, clearer conditions the prior day and aligns with seasonal late-summer norms of frequent Atlantic moisture. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 22°C and 23°C because ensemble guidance shows limited diurnal warming potential under overcast skies, with only brief breaks possible around midday. Key variables differentiating outcomes include exact timing of any convective cells, wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture, which official agencies continue to refine through updated runs ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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