Recent forecasts indicate overnight lows near 14–16°C in Amsterdam on August 28, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around those values. A warm spell peaking Thursday is expected to yield to cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover or showers by Friday night, limiting radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term late-August average of roughly 12.6°C at Schiphol. Key variables include the exact timing of any frontal passage, wind speeds that could enhance mixing, and model consensus on dew points near 11–14°C, which together create the narrow spread between 14°C and 17°C outcomes. Updated KNMI and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日阿姆斯特丹的最低温度?
16°C 47%
17°C 47%
15°C 45%
14°C 44%
12°C or below
2%
13°C
42%
14°C
44%
15°C
45%
16°C
47%
17°C
47%
18°C
43%
19°C
43%
20°C
8%
21°C
10%
22°C or higher
2%
16°C 47%
17°C 47%
15°C 45%
14°C 44%
12°C or below
2%
13°C
42%
14°C
44%
15°C
45%
16°C
47%
17°C
47%
18°C
43%
19°C
43%
20°C
8%
21°C
10%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts indicate overnight lows near 14–16°C in Amsterdam on August 28, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around those values. A warm spell peaking Thursday is expected to yield to cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover or showers by Friday night, limiting radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term late-August average of roughly 12.6°C at Schiphol. Key variables include the exact timing of any frontal passage, wind speeds that could enhance mixing, and model consensus on dew points near 11–14°C, which together create the narrow spread between 14°C and 17°C outcomes. Updated KNMI and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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