Persistent marine layer influence and onshore westerly flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco temperatures near seasonal averages around 69–70°F for August 25. Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate mostly cloudy conditions with highs likely in the upper 60s to low 70s, as the eastern Pacific trough maintains cooler coastal air while limiting afternoon warming. Recent model runs show no significant ridge strengthening or offshore flow to push readings into the mid-70s or higher, keeping 70–73°F bins as the strongest trader consensus. Historical August variability and the low probability of rapid marine layer erosion further support these narrower ranges over extremes. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle will refine land-sea breeze and cloud-cover details ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日旧金山气温最高？
8月25日旧金山气温最高？
72-73°F 36%
70-71°F 26%
74-75°F 18%
68-69°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
63°F或以下
<1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
1%
82°F或更高
<1%
72-73°F 36%
70-71°F 26%
74-75°F 18%
68-69°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
63°F或以下
$23 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$25 交易量
4%
66-67°F
$5 交易量
6%
68-69°F
$43 交易量
11%
70-71°F
$33 交易量
26%
72-73°F
$172 交易量
36%
74-75°F
$354 交易量
18%
76-77°F
$27 交易量
8%
78-79°F
$115 交易量
3%
80-81°F
$603 交易量
1%
82°F或更高
$59 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and onshore westerly flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco temperatures near seasonal averages around 69–70°F for August 25. Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate mostly cloudy conditions with highs likely in the upper 60s to low 70s, as the eastern Pacific trough maintains cooler coastal air while limiting afternoon warming. Recent model runs show no significant ridge strengthening or offshore flow to push readings into the mid-70s or higher, keeping 70–73°F bins as the strongest trader consensus. Historical August variability and the low probability of rapid marine layer erosion further support these narrower ranges over extremes. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle will refine land-sea breeze and cloud-cover details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
交易量
$1,459结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and onshore westerly flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco temperatures near seasonal averages around 69–70°F for August 25. Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate mostly cloudy conditions with highs likely in the upper 60s to low 70s, as the eastern Pacific trough maintains cooler coastal air while limiting afternoon warming. Recent model runs show no significant ridge strengthening or offshore flow to push readings into the mid-70s or higher, keeping 70–73°F bins as the strongest trader consensus. Historical August variability and the low probability of rapid marine layer erosion further support these narrower ranges over extremes. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle will refine land-sea breeze and cloud-cover details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,459结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETPersistent marine layer influence and onshore westerly flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco temperatures near seasonal averages around 69–70°F for August 25. Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate mostly cloudy conditions with highs likely in the upper 60s to low 70s, as the eastern Pacific trough maintains cooler coastal air while limiting afternoon warming. Recent model runs show no significant ridge strengthening or offshore flow to push readings into the mid-70s or higher, keeping 70–73°F bins as the strongest trader consensus. Historical August variability and the low probability of rapid marine layer erosion further support these narrower ranges over extremes. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle will refine land-sea breeze and cloud-cover details ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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