Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 25 point to an overnight low in the upper 50s, reflecting the dominant marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow that typically caps radiative cooling near the coast. These conditions, reinforced by moderate southwest winds and high humidity, align with the market's leading 58-59°F outcome at 51.5% implied probability, slightly above the long-term August average low of 56°F. Model consensus shows limited warming potential overnight, while 56-57°F holds secondary support at 31.5%; any shift in the stratus deck or wind strength could adjust the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日旧金山最低气温？
8月25日旧金山最低气温？
58-59°F 52%
56-57°F 27%
54-55°F 22%
52-53°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
49°F或更低
8%
50-51°F
2%
52-53°F
15%
54-55°F
22%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
52%
60-61°F
15%
62-63°F
15%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
2%
68°F或更高
4%
58-59°F 52%
56-57°F 27%
54-55°F 22%
52-53°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
49°F或更低
$5 交易量
8%
50-51°F
$65 交易量
2%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
15%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
22%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
27%
58-59°F
$11 交易量
52%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
15%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
15%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
13%
66-67°F
$5 交易量
2%
68°F或更高
$130 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 25 point to an overnight low in the upper 50s, reflecting the dominant marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow that typically caps radiative cooling near the coast. These conditions, reinforced by moderate southwest winds and high humidity, align with the market's leading 58-59°F outcome at 51.5% implied probability, slightly above the long-term August average low of 56°F. Model consensus shows limited warming potential overnight, while 56-57°F holds secondary support at 31.5%; any shift in the stratus deck or wind strength could adjust the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$216结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 25 point to an overnight low in the upper 50s, reflecting the dominant marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow that typically caps radiative cooling near the coast. These conditions, reinforced by moderate southwest winds and high humidity, align with the market's leading 58-59°F outcome at 51.5% implied probability, slightly above the long-term August average low of 56°F. Model consensus shows limited warming potential overnight, while 56-57°F holds secondary support at 31.5%; any shift in the stratus deck or wind strength could adjust the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$216结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 25 point to an overnight low in the upper 50s, reflecting the dominant marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow that typically caps radiative cooling near the coast. These conditions, reinforced by moderate southwest winds and high humidity, align with the market's leading 58-59°F outcome at 51.5% implied probability, slightly above the long-term August average low of 56°F. Model consensus shows limited warming potential overnight, while 56-57°F holds secondary support at 31.5%; any shift in the stratus deck or wind strength could adjust the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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