Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and ensemble models points to an overnight low near 56–59°F in San Francisco on August 24, aligning with late-August climatology and recent upper-50s readings at official stations. Persistent marine-layer influence and onshore flow from a low-pressure system in the eastern Pacific maintain typical cooling, while a high-pressure ridge over the interior prevents significant warming or cooldown. This setup favors the leading 58–59°F bin, with secondary probability on 56–57°F and 60–61°F ranges reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Historical norms show August lows averaging 57°F, underscoring limited deviation expected under current stable synoptic conditions ahead of any final observational adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日旧金山最低气温？
8月24日旧金山最低气温？
58-59°F 49%
49°F或以下 23%
60-61°F 23%
56-57°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
49°F或以下
23%
50-51°F
12%
52-53°F
11%
54-55°F
18%
56-57°F
19%
58-59°F
49%
60-61°F
23%
62-63°F
8%
64-65华氏度
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68华氏度或更高
<1%
58-59°F 49%
49°F或以下 23%
60-61°F 23%
56-57°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
49°F或以下
$60 交易量
23%
50-51°F
$60 交易量
12%
52-53°F
$6 交易量
11%
54-55°F
$6 交易量
18%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
19%
58-59°F
$5 交易量
49%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
23%
62-63°F
$65 交易量
8%
64-65华氏度
$70 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$5 交易量
<1%
68华氏度或更高
$190 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and ensemble models points to an overnight low near 56–59°F in San Francisco on August 24, aligning with late-August climatology and recent upper-50s readings at official stations. Persistent marine-layer influence and onshore flow from a low-pressure system in the eastern Pacific maintain typical cooling, while a high-pressure ridge over the interior prevents significant warming or cooldown. This setup favors the leading 58–59°F bin, with secondary probability on 56–57°F and 60–61°F ranges reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Historical norms show August lows averaging 57°F, underscoring limited deviation expected under current stable synoptic conditions ahead of any final observational adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$467结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and ensemble models points to an overnight low near 56–59°F in San Francisco on August 24, aligning with late-August climatology and recent upper-50s readings at official stations. Persistent marine-layer influence and onshore flow from a low-pressure system in the eastern Pacific maintain typical cooling, while a high-pressure ridge over the interior prevents significant warming or cooldown. This setup favors the leading 58–59°F bin, with secondary probability on 56–57°F and 60–61°F ranges reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Historical norms show August lows averaging 57°F, underscoring limited deviation expected under current stable synoptic conditions ahead of any final observational adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$467结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETForecast consensus from National Weather Service and ensemble models points to an overnight low near 56–59°F in San Francisco on August 24, aligning with late-August climatology and recent upper-50s readings at official stations. Persistent marine-layer influence and onshore flow from a low-pressure system in the eastern Pacific maintain typical cooling, while a high-pressure ridge over the interior prevents significant warming or cooldown. This setup favors the leading 58–59°F bin, with secondary probability on 56–57°F and 60–61°F ranges reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Historical norms show August lows averaging 57°F, underscoring limited deviation expected under current stable synoptic conditions ahead of any final observational adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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