Current forecast models indicate overnight lows in São Paulo near 13–15°C on August 25 under mostly cloudy skies and light southeast winds, consistent with the near-tie between 13°C and 14°C market-implied odds. Persistent high pressure has stabilized conditions, limiting radiative cooling while moderating temperatures above seasonal August averages around 12°C. Key variables include cloud thickness, which reduces heat loss, and minor model differences in dew point and wind speed that affect the exact minimum. Updated runs from agencies like the National Meteorological Institute will clarify resolution thresholds before the overnight period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日圣保罗的最低温度?
9°C或以下 47%
13°C 32%
14°C 32%
15°C 27%
9°C或以下
47%
10°C
5%
11°C
8%
12°C
8%
13°C
32%
14°C
32%
15°C
27%
16°C
22%
17°C
23%
18°C
14%
19°C或更高
2%
9°C或以下 47%
13°C 32%
14°C 32%
15°C 27%
9°C或以下
47%
10°C
5%
11°C
8%
12°C
8%
13°C
32%
14°C
32%
15°C
27%
16°C
22%
17°C
23%
18°C
14%
19°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models indicate overnight lows in São Paulo near 13–15°C on August 25 under mostly cloudy skies and light southeast winds, consistent with the near-tie between 13°C and 14°C market-implied odds. Persistent high pressure has stabilized conditions, limiting radiative cooling while moderating temperatures above seasonal August averages around 12°C. Key variables include cloud thickness, which reduces heat loss, and minor model differences in dew point and wind speed that affect the exact minimum. Updated runs from agencies like the National Meteorological Institute will clarify resolution thresholds before the overnight period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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