**Trader consensus centers on a 20–21°C high today in São Paulo, reflecting model agreement for a modest afternoon peak under persistent high pressure.** August marks the cool season in the Southern Hemisphere, with climatological August maxima averaging ~22°C. A stable anticyclone and southeast flow are limiting insolation and moisture, keeping skies mostly cloudy to overcast and suppressing stronger daytime heating. Official short-range guidance from Brazilian sources (including IPMet) and international models (Met Office, Yr) converge on an afternoon peak of 19–21°C, with early-morning readings near 14°C and little change expected through the evening. This narrow range explains the heavy weighting on 19–21°C outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated model runs and official INMET observations later today remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月25日圣保罗的最高温度？
21°C 41%
20°C 27%
19°C 15%
22°C 12%
最新
$10,549 交易量
最新
$10,549 交易量
2026-08-25
18°C or below
4%
19°C
15%
20°C
27%
21°C
41%
22°C
12%
23°C
5%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
21°C 41%
20°C 27%
19°C 15%
22°C 12%
最新
$10,549 交易量
最新
$10,549 交易量
2026-08-25
18°C or below
$641 交易量
4%
19°C
$1,212 交易量
15%
20°C
$1,686 交易量
27%
21°C
$1,685 交易量
41%
22°C
$1,516 交易量
12%
23°C
$1,395 交易量
5%
24°C
$977 交易量
3%
25°C
$570 交易量
1%
26°C
$361 交易量
<1%
27°C
$217 交易量
<1%
28°C or higher
$288 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 20–21°C high today in São Paulo, reflecting model agreement for a modest afternoon peak under persistent high pressure.**
August marks the cool season in the Southern Hemisphere, with climatological August maxima averaging ~22°C. A stable anticyclone and southeast flow are limiting insolation and moisture, keeping skies mostly cloudy to overcast and suppressing stronger daytime heating. Official short-range guidance from Brazilian sources (including IPMet) and international models (Met Office, Yr) converge on an afternoon peak of 19–21°C, with early-morning readings near 14°C and little change expected through the evening.
This narrow range explains the heavy weighting on 19–21°C outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated model runs and official INMET observations later today remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$10,549结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 20–21°C high today in São Paulo, reflecting model agreement for a modest afternoon peak under persistent high pressure.**
August marks the cool season in the Southern Hemisphere, with climatological August maxima averaging ~22°C. A stable anticyclone and southeast flow are limiting insolation and moisture, keeping skies mostly cloudy to overcast and suppressing stronger daytime heating. Official short-range guidance from Brazilian sources (including IPMet) and international models (Met Office, Yr) converge on an afternoon peak of 19–21°C, with early-morning readings near 14°C and little change expected through the evening.
This narrow range explains the heavy weighting on 19–21°C outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated model runs and official INMET observations later today remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,549结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET**Trader consensus centers on a 20–21°C high today in São Paulo, reflecting model agreement for a modest afternoon peak under persistent high pressure.** August marks the cool season in the Southern Hemisphere, with climatological August maxima averaging ~22°C. A stable anticyclone and southeast flow are limiting insolation and moisture, keeping skies mostly cloudy to overcast and suppressing stronger daytime heating. Official short-range guidance from Brazilian sources (including IPMet) and international models (Met Office, Yr) converge on an afternoon peak of 19–21°C, with early-morning readings near 14°C and little change expected through the evening. This narrow range explains the heavy weighting on 19–21°C outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated model runs and official INMET observations later today remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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