Current forecast models from agencies like ECMWF and GFS indicate mostly clear skies and light easterly winds over Warsaw on August 27, supporting maximum temperatures centered near 23–25°C, which aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 24°C and 23°C. Diurnal heating under high pressure, combined with dew points around 11–13°C, limits convective development and keeps afternoon peaks moderate, though slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speed across ensemble runs create the narrow spread between leading outcomes. Historical late-August baselines for the region average 22–24°C, providing context for why traders assign minimal probability to extremes above 26°C or below 22°C ahead of final model updates on the 26th.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月27日最高气温？
华沙8月27日最高气温？
24°C 42%
23°C 33%
25°C 29%
22°C 24%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
6%
22°C
24%
23°C
33%
24°C
42%
25°C
29%
26°C
8%
27°C
5%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 42%
23°C 33%
25°C 29%
22°C 24%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
19°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
20°C
$0 交易量
<1%
21°C
$0 交易量
6%
22°C
$0 交易量
24%
23°C
$0 交易量
33%
24°C
$0 交易量
42%
25°C
$0 交易量
29%
26°C
$11 交易量
8%
27°C
$0 交易量
5%
28°C
$0 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$11 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like ECMWF and GFS indicate mostly clear skies and light easterly winds over Warsaw on August 27, supporting maximum temperatures centered near 23–25°C, which aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 24°C and 23°C. Diurnal heating under high pressure, combined with dew points around 11–13°C, limits convective development and keeps afternoon peaks moderate, though slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speed across ensemble runs create the narrow spread between leading outcomes. Historical late-August baselines for the region average 22–24°C, providing context for why traders assign minimal probability to extremes above 26°C or below 22°C ahead of final model updates on the 26th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$22结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like ECMWF and GFS indicate mostly clear skies and light easterly winds over Warsaw on August 27, supporting maximum temperatures centered near 23–25°C, which aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 24°C and 23°C. Diurnal heating under high pressure, combined with dew points around 11–13°C, limits convective development and keeps afternoon peaks moderate, though slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speed across ensemble runs create the narrow spread between leading outcomes. Historical late-August baselines for the region average 22–24°C, providing context for why traders assign minimal probability to extremes above 26°C or below 22°C ahead of final model updates on the 26th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies like ECMWF and GFS indicate mostly clear skies and light easterly winds over Warsaw on August 27, supporting maximum temperatures centered near 23–25°C, which aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 24°C and 23°C. Diurnal heating under high pressure, combined with dew points around 11–13°C, limits convective development and keeps afternoon peaks moderate, though slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speed across ensemble runs create the narrow spread between leading outcomes. Historical late-August baselines for the region average 22–24°C, providing context for why traders assign minimal probability to extremes above 26°C or below 22°C ahead of final model updates on the 26th.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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