Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models show Taipei's peak temperature on August 27 likely centering in the 34–36°C range, producing the tight market spread among those outcomes as traders weigh minor differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat-island effects. Subtropical conditions typical of late summer, with weak steering flow and possible afternoon thunderstorms, introduce day-to-day variability that keeps probabilities distributed rather than concentrated. Official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration will refine the outlook through the next 48 hours, with resolution based on the daily maximum recorded at the primary station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日台北气温最高?
35°C 32%
34°C 25%
36°C 21%
33°C 9%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
9%
34°C
25%
35°C
32%
36°C
21%
37°C
8%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 32%
34°C 25%
36°C 21%
33°C 9%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
9%
34°C
25%
35°C
32%
36°C
21%
37°C
8%
38°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models show Taipei's peak temperature on August 27 likely centering in the 34–36°C range, producing the tight market spread among those outcomes as traders weigh minor differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat-island effects. Subtropical conditions typical of late summer, with weak steering flow and possible afternoon thunderstorms, introduce day-to-day variability that keeps probabilities distributed rather than concentrated. Official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration will refine the outlook through the next 48 hours, with resolution based on the daily maximum recorded at the primary station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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