Recent shower activity and tropical moisture across northern Taiwan have created a narrow range of forecast overnight lows for Taipei on August 26, with numerical weather models showing minimum temperatures clustering between 24–27 °C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling at night while maintaining high humidity, reducing the typical diurnal temperature swing. Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble outputs highlight uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, which directly influences how much the urban heat island effect is suppressed. This genuine forecast spread explains why trader-implied odds remain closely divided among the 23–26 °C outcomes, with fresh model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日台北气温最低？
8月26日台北气温最低？
26°C 34%
25°C 25%
24°C 24%
28°C 24%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
20°C or below
2%
21°C
13%
22°C
7%
23°C
21%
24°C
24%
25°C
25%
26°C
34%
27°C
23%
28°C
24%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 34%
25°C 25%
24°C 24%
28°C 24%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
20°C or below
$135 交易量
2%
21°C
$5 交易量
13%
22°C
$0 交易量
7%
23°C
$10 交易量
21%
24°C
$0 交易量
24%
25°C
$0 交易量
25%
26°C
$0 交易量
34%
27°C
$0 交易量
23%
28°C
$20 交易量
24%
29°C
$10 交易量
1%
30°C or higher
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent shower activity and tropical moisture across northern Taiwan have created a narrow range of forecast overnight lows for Taipei on August 26, with numerical weather models showing minimum temperatures clustering between 24–27 °C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling at night while maintaining high humidity, reducing the typical diurnal temperature swing. Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble outputs highlight uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, which directly influences how much the urban heat island effect is suppressed. This genuine forecast spread explains why trader-implied odds remain closely divided among the 23–26 °C outcomes, with fresh model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$180结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent shower activity and tropical moisture across northern Taiwan have created a narrow range of forecast overnight lows for Taipei on August 26, with numerical weather models showing minimum temperatures clustering between 24–27 °C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling at night while maintaining high humidity, reducing the typical diurnal temperature swing. Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble outputs highlight uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, which directly influences how much the urban heat island effect is suppressed. This genuine forecast spread explains why trader-implied odds remain closely divided among the 23–26 °C outcomes, with fresh model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$180结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent shower activity and tropical moisture across northern Taiwan have created a narrow range of forecast overnight lows for Taipei on August 26, with numerical weather models showing minimum temperatures clustering between 24–27 °C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling at night while maintaining high humidity, reducing the typical diurnal temperature swing. Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble outputs highlight uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, which directly influences how much the urban heat island effect is suppressed. This genuine forecast spread explains why trader-implied odds remain closely divided among the 23–26 °C outcomes, with fresh model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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