Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a minimum temperature near 26°C for Taipei on August 24, consistent with typical subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity and frequent afternoon thundershowers that restrict overnight radiative cooling. Multiple models cluster overnight lows between 24–26°C, with limited spread arising from variable rainfall timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer wind mixing that can either enhance or suppress cooling before dawn. Trader consensus around the 26°C and 27°C outcomes reflects this narrow scientific range and historical August baselines, while elevated probability on 21°C or below captures tail risks from stronger-than-expected showers or clearer skies permitting greater heat loss. Updated model runs and CWA guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日台北气温最低？
8月24日台北气温最低？
22°C 49%
27°C 29%
26°C 29%
24°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
21°C or below
23%
22°C
49%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
29%
27°C
29%
28°C
25%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
11%
22°C 49%
27°C 29%
26°C 29%
24°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
21°C or below
$5,276 交易量
23%
22°C
$5 交易量
49%
23°C
$0 交易量
26%
24°C
$0 交易量
27%
25°C
$0 交易量
27%
26°C
$0 交易量
29%
27°C
$0 交易量
29%
28°C
$75 交易量
25%
29°C
$60 交易量
12%
30°C
$75 交易量
5%
31°C or higher
$1,969 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a minimum temperature near 26°C for Taipei on August 24, consistent with typical subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity and frequent afternoon thundershowers that restrict overnight radiative cooling. Multiple models cluster overnight lows between 24–26°C, with limited spread arising from variable rainfall timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer wind mixing that can either enhance or suppress cooling before dawn. Trader consensus around the 26°C and 27°C outcomes reflects this narrow scientific range and historical August baselines, while elevated probability on 21°C or below captures tail risks from stronger-than-expected showers or clearer skies permitting greater heat loss. Updated model runs and CWA guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$7,460结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a minimum temperature near 26°C for Taipei on August 24, consistent with typical subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity and frequent afternoon thundershowers that restrict overnight radiative cooling. Multiple models cluster overnight lows between 24–26°C, with limited spread arising from variable rainfall timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer wind mixing that can either enhance or suppress cooling before dawn. Trader consensus around the 26°C and 27°C outcomes reflects this narrow scientific range and historical August baselines, while elevated probability on 21°C or below captures tail risks from stronger-than-expected showers or clearer skies permitting greater heat loss. Updated model runs and CWA guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,460结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETOfficial forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a minimum temperature near 26°C for Taipei on August 24, consistent with typical subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity and frequent afternoon thundershowers that restrict overnight radiative cooling. Multiple models cluster overnight lows between 24–26°C, with limited spread arising from variable rainfall timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer wind mixing that can either enhance or suppress cooling before dawn. Trader consensus around the 26°C and 27°C outcomes reflects this narrow scientific range and historical August baselines, while elevated probability on 21°C or below captures tail risks from stronger-than-expected showers or clearer skies permitting greater heat loss. Updated model runs and CWA guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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