Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and model consensus indicate Taipei's overnight low on August 25 will likely fall in the mid-20s°C amid persistent low-pressure influences, monsoon moisture, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Cloud cover and rainfall suppress temperature drops below typical seasonal baselines near 26°C, while any clearing could allow modest cooling toward 24–25°C or, less likely, brief extremes. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-22°C and 31°C+ outcomes reflect genuine forecast divergence in steering patterns and precipitation timing over the next 48 hours, with traders weighing model runs against historical August nocturnal ranges of 24–27°C. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will clarify steering winds and moisture advection.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日台北气温最低?
31°C or higher 82%
21°C or below 79%
30°C 51%
26°C 33%
21°C or below
79%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
32%
26°C
33%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
51%
31°C or higher
82%
31°C or higher 82%
21°C or below 79%
30°C 51%
26°C 33%
21°C or below
79%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
32%
26°C
33%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
51%
31°C or higher
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and model consensus indicate Taipei's overnight low on August 25 will likely fall in the mid-20s°C amid persistent low-pressure influences, monsoon moisture, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Cloud cover and rainfall suppress temperature drops below typical seasonal baselines near 26°C, while any clearing could allow modest cooling toward 24–25°C or, less likely, brief extremes. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-22°C and 31°C+ outcomes reflect genuine forecast divergence in steering patterns and precipitation timing over the next 48 hours, with traders weighing model runs against historical August nocturnal ranges of 24–27°C. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will clarify steering winds and moisture advection.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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