Recent forecast models from sources like the BBC and Met Office indicate sunny conditions with light easterly winds over Wuhan, sustaining daytime highs near 36–37°C on August 27 amid the city's subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent high pressure and low precipitation risk support this range, consistent with August averages of 33–35°C and occasional peaks above 38°C. Trader consensus clustering on 37–39°C reflects model agreement on minimal cooling from humidity or cloud cover through the short-term window, while lower odds for extremes account for typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution. Updated model runs ahead of the date could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns change.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日武汉气温最高?
38°C 33%
39°C 28%
37°C 26%
36°C 11%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
11%
37°C
26%
38°C
33%
39°C
28%
40°C
5%
41°C
6%
42°C or higher
5%
38°C 33%
39°C 28%
37°C 26%
36°C 11%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
11%
37°C
26%
38°C
33%
39°C
28%
40°C
5%
41°C
6%
42°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources like the BBC and Met Office indicate sunny conditions with light easterly winds over Wuhan, sustaining daytime highs near 36–37°C on August 27 amid the city's subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent high pressure and low precipitation risk support this range, consistent with August averages of 33–35°C and occasional peaks above 38°C. Trader consensus clustering on 37–39°C reflects model agreement on minimal cooling from humidity or cloud cover through the short-term window, while lower odds for extremes account for typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution. Updated model runs ahead of the date could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns change.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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