Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high of 104–108°F in Dallas on August 24 under persistent high pressure, light southwest winds, and clear skies that favor strong daytime heating. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting on the 106–107°F bin, as ensemble guidance clusters near 106–108°F amid an ongoing heatwave with heat indices above 110°F. Minor model spread around peak timing and boundary-layer moisture keeps 104–105°F as a secondary outcome while limiting odds for 108°F or higher. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs on August 23 represent the key near-term data that will refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日达拉斯的最高温度?
106-107°F 61%
104-105°F 26%
108-109°F 11%
102-103°F 5%
99°F or below
<1%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
26%
106-107°F
61%
108-109°F
11%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
106-107°F 61%
104-105°F 26%
108-109°F 11%
102-103°F 5%
99°F or below
<1%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
26%
106-107°F
61%
108-109°F
11%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high of 104–108°F in Dallas on August 24 under persistent high pressure, light southwest winds, and clear skies that favor strong daytime heating. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting on the 106–107°F bin, as ensemble guidance clusters near 106–108°F amid an ongoing heatwave with heat indices above 110°F. Minor model spread around peak timing and boundary-layer moisture keeps 104–105°F as a secondary outcome while limiting odds for 108°F or higher. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs on August 23 represent the key near-term data that will refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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