A recent influx of cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover from southeasterly flow has suppressed daytime heating in São Paulo ahead of August 24. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Met Office, Yr, and regional models converge on a maximum of 18–21 °C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with only limited solar insolation and possible light drizzle. This follows a sharp cooldown from mid-month highs near 30 °C, placing the day well below late-August climatological normals of 22–24 °C. Model spread centers on cloud thickness and any brief afternoon clearing, keeping the highest temperature tightly clustered around 19–21 °C and explaining the near-even market probabilities for those outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 23 will refine the final range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日圣保罗的最高温度?
20°C 31%
21°C 24%
19°C 23%
18°C 11%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
11%
19°C
23%
20°C
31%
21°C
24%
22°C
9%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 31%
21°C 24%
19°C 23%
18°C 11%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
11%
19°C
23%
20°C
31%
21°C
24%
22°C
9%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
A recent influx of cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover from southeasterly flow has suppressed daytime heating in São Paulo ahead of August 24. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Met Office, Yr, and regional models converge on a maximum of 18–21 °C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with only limited solar insolation and possible light drizzle. This follows a sharp cooldown from mid-month highs near 30 °C, placing the day well below late-August climatological normals of 22–24 °C. Model spread centers on cloud thickness and any brief afternoon clearing, keeping the highest temperature tightly clustered around 19–21 °C and explaining the near-even market probabilities for those outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 23 will refine the final range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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