Recent passage of a cold front over São Paulo state has advected cooler polar maritime air, lowering overnight minima into the low teens Celsius ahead of August 24. Model consensus from sources such as ECMWF, GFS, and local agencies shows overnight lows ranging 10–15 °C under variable cloud cover and southeasterly winds of 10–18 km/h, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. This spread in guidance—some runs favoring stronger advection and clearer skies for sub-13 °C readings, others retaining more cloud and milder advection—explains the near-even market-implied odds between sub-10 °C and 19 °C+ outcomes. Official minimum-temperature updates from INMET or CGE São Paulo on the morning of the 24th will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日圣保罗最低温度？
8月24日圣保罗最低温度？
19°C或更高 72%
9°C或以下 71%
18°C 44%
13°C 33%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
9°C或以下
71%
10°C
25%
11°C
24%
12°C
26%
13°C
33%
14°C
32%
15°C
28%
16°C
23%
17°C
22%
18°C
44%
19°C或更高
72%
19°C或更高 72%
9°C或以下 71%
18°C 44%
13°C 33%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
9°C或以下
$5 交易量
71%
10°C
$0 交易量
25%
11°C
$0 交易量
24%
12°C
$0 交易量
26%
13°C
$0 交易量
33%
14°C
$0 交易量
32%
15°C
$0 交易量
28%
16°C
$0 交易量
23%
17°C
$4 交易量
22%
18°C
$5 交易量
44%
19°C或更高
$10 交易量
72%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent passage of a cold front over São Paulo state has advected cooler polar maritime air, lowering overnight minima into the low teens Celsius ahead of August 24. Model consensus from sources such as ECMWF, GFS, and local agencies shows overnight lows ranging 10–15 °C under variable cloud cover and southeasterly winds of 10–18 km/h, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. This spread in guidance—some runs favoring stronger advection and clearer skies for sub-13 °C readings, others retaining more cloud and milder advection—explains the near-even market-implied odds between sub-10 °C and 19 °C+ outcomes. Official minimum-temperature updates from INMET or CGE São Paulo on the morning of the 24th will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$24结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent passage of a cold front over São Paulo state has advected cooler polar maritime air, lowering overnight minima into the low teens Celsius ahead of August 24. Model consensus from sources such as ECMWF, GFS, and local agencies shows overnight lows ranging 10–15 °C under variable cloud cover and southeasterly winds of 10–18 km/h, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. This spread in guidance—some runs favoring stronger advection and clearer skies for sub-13 °C readings, others retaining more cloud and milder advection—explains the near-even market-implied odds between sub-10 °C and 19 °C+ outcomes. Official minimum-temperature updates from INMET or CGE São Paulo on the morning of the 24th will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 9:28 PM ETRecent passage of a cold front over São Paulo state has advected cooler polar maritime air, lowering overnight minima into the low teens Celsius ahead of August 24. Model consensus from sources such as ECMWF, GFS, and local agencies shows overnight lows ranging 10–15 °C under variable cloud cover and southeasterly winds of 10–18 km/h, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. This spread in guidance—some runs favoring stronger advection and clearer skies for sub-13 °C readings, others retaining more cloud and milder advection—explains the near-even market-implied odds between sub-10 °C and 19 °C+ outcomes. Official minimum-temperature updates from INMET or CGE São Paulo on the morning of the 24th will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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