Recent forecasts for São Paulo on August 23 align closely with the market's leading outcomes, with models and climatological data pointing to a daily high in the 23–25°C range. August marks mid-winter in the Southern Hemisphere, when average maximum temperatures hover near 23–24°C under typical subtropical high-pressure conditions, moderated by the urban heat island effect and Atlantic moisture. Recent observations show daytime highs of 24–25°C with minimal rainfall and light winds, supporting stable thermal profiles rather than rapid warming or cooling. Ensemble guidance indicates limited variability from steering patterns or frontal passages, keeping probabilities concentrated on these values while lower odds on extremes reflect the low likelihood of anomalous advection or clear-sky radiative extremes in the current setup. Updated model runs and official agency briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational inputs for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月23日圣保罗的最高温度？
24°C 42%
23°C 25%
25°C 21%
22°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
20°C or below
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
25%
24°C
42%
25°C
21%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 42%
23°C 25%
25°C 21%
22°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
20°C or below
$58 交易量
1%
21°C
$73 交易量
3%
22°C
$57 交易量
8%
23°C
$133 交易量
25%
24°C
$119 交易量
42%
25°C
$269 交易量
21%
26°C
$122 交易量
7%
27°C
$36 交易量
2%
28°C
$74 交易量
1%
29°C
$10 交易量
1%
30°C or higher
$451 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for São Paulo on August 23 align closely with the market's leading outcomes, with models and climatological data pointing to a daily high in the 23–25°C range. August marks mid-winter in the Southern Hemisphere, when average maximum temperatures hover near 23–24°C under typical subtropical high-pressure conditions, moderated by the urban heat island effect and Atlantic moisture. Recent observations show daytime highs of 24–25°C with minimal rainfall and light winds, supporting stable thermal profiles rather than rapid warming or cooling. Ensemble guidance indicates limited variability from steering patterns or frontal passages, keeping probabilities concentrated on these values while lower odds on extremes reflect the low likelihood of anomalous advection or clear-sky radiative extremes in the current setup. Updated model runs and official agency briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
交易量
$1,402结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for São Paulo on August 23 align closely with the market's leading outcomes, with models and climatological data pointing to a daily high in the 23–25°C range. August marks mid-winter in the Southern Hemisphere, when average maximum temperatures hover near 23–24°C under typical subtropical high-pressure conditions, moderated by the urban heat island effect and Atlantic moisture. Recent observations show daytime highs of 24–25°C with minimal rainfall and light winds, supporting stable thermal profiles rather than rapid warming or cooling. Ensemble guidance indicates limited variability from steering patterns or frontal passages, keeping probabilities concentrated on these values while lower odds on extremes reflect the low likelihood of anomalous advection or clear-sky radiative extremes in the current setup. Updated model runs and official agency briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,402结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETRecent forecasts for São Paulo on August 23 align closely with the market's leading outcomes, with models and climatological data pointing to a daily high in the 23–25°C range. August marks mid-winter in the Southern Hemisphere, when average maximum temperatures hover near 23–24°C under typical subtropical high-pressure conditions, moderated by the urban heat island effect and Atlantic moisture. Recent observations show daytime highs of 24–25°C with minimal rainfall and light winds, supporting stable thermal profiles rather than rapid warming or cooling. Ensemble guidance indicates limited variability from steering patterns or frontal passages, keeping probabilities concentrated on these values while lower odds on extremes reflect the low likelihood of anomalous advection or clear-sky radiative extremes in the current setup. Updated model runs and official agency briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational inputs for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题