Recent cold air advection brought an unusually sharp minimum of 0°C to Buenos Aires on August 22, highlighting the potential for late-winter polar outbreaks to drive sharp overnight radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions. For August 25, ensemble guidance shows a moderating trend with forecast lows clustered near 10–11°C, yet model spread and possible residual cold-air influence create genuine uncertainty between sub-3°C and double-digit readings. Key differentiators include surface wind speed modulating boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover altering longwave radiation loss, and the precise timing of any frontal passage—factors that explain why market-implied probabilities remain tightly bunched across the 2°C-or-below, mid-single-digit, and 12°C-or-higher brackets. Official station observations the following day will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
8月25日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
2°C或以下 59%
12°C或更高 59%
6°C 28%
4°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
2°C或以下
59%
3°C
23%
4°C
27%
5°C
27%
6°C
28%
7°C
26%
8°C
22%
9°C
21%
10°C
7%
11°C
13%
12°C或更高
59%
2°C或以下 59%
12°C或更高 59%
6°C 28%
4°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
2°C或以下
$5 交易量
59%
3°C
$0 交易量
23%
4°C
$0 交易量
27%
5°C
$0 交易量
27%
6°C
$0 交易量
28%
7°C
$0 交易量
26%
8°C
$0 交易量
22%
9°C
$0 交易量
21%
10°C
$5 交易量
7%
11°C
$135 交易量
13%
12°C或更高
$5 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection brought an unusually sharp minimum of 0°C to Buenos Aires on August 22, highlighting the potential for late-winter polar outbreaks to drive sharp overnight radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions. For August 25, ensemble guidance shows a moderating trend with forecast lows clustered near 10–11°C, yet model spread and possible residual cold-air influence create genuine uncertainty between sub-3°C and double-digit readings. Key differentiators include surface wind speed modulating boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover altering longwave radiation loss, and the precise timing of any frontal passage—factors that explain why market-implied probabilities remain tightly bunched across the 2°C-or-below, mid-single-digit, and 12°C-or-higher brackets. Official station observations the following day will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$150结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection brought an unusually sharp minimum of 0°C to Buenos Aires on August 22, highlighting the potential for late-winter polar outbreaks to drive sharp overnight radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions. For August 25, ensemble guidance shows a moderating trend with forecast lows clustered near 10–11°C, yet model spread and possible residual cold-air influence create genuine uncertainty between sub-3°C and double-digit readings. Key differentiators include surface wind speed modulating boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover altering longwave radiation loss, and the precise timing of any frontal passage—factors that explain why market-implied probabilities remain tightly bunched across the 2°C-or-below, mid-single-digit, and 12°C-or-higher brackets. Official station observations the following day will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$150结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETRecent cold air advection brought an unusually sharp minimum of 0°C to Buenos Aires on August 22, highlighting the potential for late-winter polar outbreaks to drive sharp overnight radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions. For August 25, ensemble guidance shows a moderating trend with forecast lows clustered near 10–11°C, yet model spread and possible residual cold-air influence create genuine uncertainty between sub-3°C and double-digit readings. Key differentiators include surface wind speed modulating boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover altering longwave radiation loss, and the precise timing of any frontal passage—factors that explain why market-implied probabilities remain tightly bunched across the 2°C-or-below, mid-single-digit, and 12°C-or-higher brackets. Official station observations the following day will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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