Recent forecast runs from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate modest overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure and light northeasterly flow, with dew points near 2–4°C limiting further drops and supporting minimums clustered around 1–3°C for Buenos Aires on August 24. This late-winter pattern, typical for the region with average August lows near 8°C, keeps trader sentiment tightly bunched at those levels because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or the exact timing of the daily minimum can easily move the reading across the 1°C, 2°C, or 3°C thresholds at the official observing station. Lower probabilities for 0°C or below reflect the current absence of stronger cold advection or clear-sky conditions that would enhance cooling, while higher outcomes remain discounted given consensus on the thermal profile.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度?
0°C 46%
2°C 31%
1°C 30%
-1°C 3%
-2°C或更低
1%
-1°C
3%
0°C
46%
1°C
30%
2°C
31%
3°C
48%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7℃
<1%
8°C或更高
<1%
0°C 46%
2°C 31%
1°C 30%
-1°C 3%
-2°C或更低
1%
-1°C
3%
0°C
46%
1°C
30%
2°C
31%
3°C
48%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7℃
<1%
8°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast runs from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate modest overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure and light northeasterly flow, with dew points near 2–4°C limiting further drops and supporting minimums clustered around 1–3°C for Buenos Aires on August 24. This late-winter pattern, typical for the region with average August lows near 8°C, keeps trader sentiment tightly bunched at those levels because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or the exact timing of the daily minimum can easily move the reading across the 1°C, 2°C, or 3°C thresholds at the official observing station. Lower probabilities for 0°C or below reflect the current absence of stronger cold advection or clear-sky conditions that would enhance cooling, while higher outcomes remain discounted given consensus on the thermal profile.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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