Recent forecasts from multiple models, including NHC-aligned regional guidance, point to a daily maximum near 11–12°C in Buenos Aires on August 24 amid a stable high-pressure ridge, light northeast flow, and minimal cloud cover that limits daytime warming. This aligns with the month's cooler-than-average trend (departures of –0.5 to –1°C) and typical winter steering patterns that suppress stronger advection. Traders have priced 13°C highest at 47.5% and 12°C at 27%, reflecting modest upward bias from climatological normals near 13°C while discounting outlier warmer scenarios; uncertainty centers on exact boundary-layer mixing and any late diurnal rise before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
13°C 49%
12°C 27%
14°C 15%
11°C 8%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
5%
11°C
8%
12°C
27%
13°C
49%
14°C
15%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 49%
12°C 27%
14°C 15%
11°C 8%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
5%
11°C
8%
12°C
27%
13°C
49%
14°C
15%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models, including NHC-aligned regional guidance, point to a daily maximum near 11–12°C in Buenos Aires on August 24 amid a stable high-pressure ridge, light northeast flow, and minimal cloud cover that limits daytime warming. This aligns with the month's cooler-than-average trend (departures of –0.5 to –1°C) and typical winter steering patterns that suppress stronger advection. Traders have priced 13°C highest at 47.5% and 12°C at 27%, reflecting modest upward bias from climatological normals near 13°C while discounting outlier warmer scenarios; uncertainty centers on exact boundary-layer mixing and any late diurnal rise before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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