Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models converge on a daytime high of 12–13°C for Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by advection of a polar air mass and southerly flow under high pressure that suppresses warming. These conditions, typical of late winter in the region, produce stable temperatures with partial cloud cover and minimal diurnal range, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 13°C and 12°C. Minor model spread in wind shifts or cloud timing introduces limited uncertainty around the precise peak, while historical August maxima near 13–15°C provide context for why outliers above 15°C or below 11°C carry low odds. Updated official observations tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
13°C 45%
12°C 27%
14°C 18%
11°C 8%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
27%
13°C
45%
14°C
18%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 45%
12°C 27%
14°C 18%
11°C 8%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
27%
13°C
45%
14°C
18%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models converge on a daytime high of 12–13°C for Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by advection of a polar air mass and southerly flow under high pressure that suppresses warming. These conditions, typical of late winter in the region, produce stable temperatures with partial cloud cover and minimal diurnal range, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 13°C and 12°C. Minor model spread in wind shifts or cloud timing introduces limited uncertainty around the precise peak, while historical August maxima near 13–15°C provide context for why outliers above 15°C or below 11°C carry low odds. Updated official observations tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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