Forecast models from multiple agencies show broad agreement on a maximum of 13–14 °C for Buenos Aires on 25 August, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, high surface pressure near 1025 hPa, and extensive low-to-mid cloud cover that limits daytime insolation. These conditions suppress the typical late-winter warming that would otherwise push highs closer to the 17 °C August climatological average. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any afternoon clearing introduce the modest uncertainty reflected in the closely matched 14 °C and 15 °C market prices. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations at the central observatory will determine the exact daily maximum under standard WMO guidelines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
15°C 43%
14°C 38%
16°C 13%
13°C 7%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
7%
14°C
38%
15°C
43%
16°C
13%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
15°C 43%
14°C 38%
16°C 13%
13°C 7%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
7%
14°C
38%
15°C
43%
16°C
13%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from multiple agencies show broad agreement on a maximum of 13–14 °C for Buenos Aires on 25 August, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, high surface pressure near 1025 hPa, and extensive low-to-mid cloud cover that limits daytime insolation. These conditions suppress the typical late-winter warming that would otherwise push highs closer to the 17 °C August climatological average. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any afternoon clearing introduce the modest uncertainty reflected in the closely matched 14 °C and 15 °C market prices. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations at the central observatory will determine the exact daily maximum under standard WMO guidelines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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