Recent forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple models project a minimum temperature near 12–13°C for Mexico City on August 25, driven by overnight cloud cover, light rain, and light northerly winds that limit radiative cooling compared to the sharper drop to single digits seen on August 24. This baseline supports the leading market-implied odds on 14°C while keeping probabilities clustered across 9–13°C outcomes, as urban heat-island effects, station-specific siting, and minor forecast shifts in dew points or wind could push the recorded low higher or lower. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight minima near 10°C, but persistent moisture and the absence of strong high pressure favor a slightly milder night, with traders weighting the tight consensus among short-range models against the potential for localized cooler pockets in higher-elevation alcaldías.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于墨西哥城8月25日的最低温度？
墨西哥城8月25日的最低温度？
9°C或以下 53%
14°C 50%
13°C 27%
11°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
9°C或以下
53%
10°C
6%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
33%
15°C
21%
16°C
25%
17°C
10%
18°C
13%
19°C或更高
9%
9°C或以下 53%
14°C 50%
13°C 27%
11°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
9°C或以下
$5 交易量
53%
10°C
$55 交易量
6%
11°C
$0 交易量
26%
12°C
$0 交易量
26%
13°C
$0 交易量
27%
14°C
$39 交易量
33%
15°C
$0 交易量
21%
16°C
$0 交易量
25%
17°C
$10 交易量
10%
18°C
$130 交易量
13%
19°C或更高
$130 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple models project a minimum temperature near 12–13°C for Mexico City on August 25, driven by overnight cloud cover, light rain, and light northerly winds that limit radiative cooling compared to the sharper drop to single digits seen on August 24. This baseline supports the leading market-implied odds on 14°C while keeping probabilities clustered across 9–13°C outcomes, as urban heat-island effects, station-specific siting, and minor forecast shifts in dew points or wind could push the recorded low higher or lower. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight minima near 10°C, but persistent moisture and the absence of strong high pressure favor a slightly milder night, with traders weighting the tight consensus among short-range models against the potential for localized cooler pockets in higher-elevation alcaldías.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$369结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple models project a minimum temperature near 12–13°C for Mexico City on August 25, driven by overnight cloud cover, light rain, and light northerly winds that limit radiative cooling compared to the sharper drop to single digits seen on August 24. This baseline supports the leading market-implied odds on 14°C while keeping probabilities clustered across 9–13°C outcomes, as urban heat-island effects, station-specific siting, and minor forecast shifts in dew points or wind could push the recorded low higher or lower. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight minima near 10°C, but persistent moisture and the absence of strong high pressure favor a slightly milder night, with traders weighting the tight consensus among short-range models against the potential for localized cooler pockets in higher-elevation alcaldías.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$369结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETRecent forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple models project a minimum temperature near 12–13°C for Mexico City on August 25, driven by overnight cloud cover, light rain, and light northerly winds that limit radiative cooling compared to the sharper drop to single digits seen on August 24. This baseline supports the leading market-implied odds on 14°C while keeping probabilities clustered across 9–13°C outcomes, as urban heat-island effects, station-specific siting, and minor forecast shifts in dew points or wind could push the recorded low higher or lower. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight minima near 10°C, but persistent moisture and the absence of strong high pressure favor a slightly milder night, with traders weighting the tight consensus among short-range models against the potential for localized cooler pockets in higher-elevation alcaldías.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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