Current forecasts for Mexico City on August 24 point to an overnight low near 12°C, driven by the city's high elevation (around 2,240 m) and typical rainy-season cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling while allowing scattered showers. Recent August minima have clustered between 12–15°C, with model consensus from multiple sources showing little deviation. The market's leading 46% implied probability on 9°C or below likely reflects trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty ranges, possible localized cold pockets, or model spread in a variable monsoon pattern, while the 24% on 19°C or higher prices warmer scenarios if skies clear less than expected. Official station readings will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于墨西哥城8月24日的最低温度?
9°C或以下 90%
19°C或更高 48%
10°C 34%
17°C 34%
9°C或以下
90%
10°C
34%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
20%
14°C
21%
15°C
20%
16°C
18%
17°C
34%
18°C
34%
19°C或更高
48%
9°C或以下 90%
19°C或更高 48%
10°C 34%
17°C 34%
9°C或以下
90%
10°C
34%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
20%
14°C
21%
15°C
20%
16°C
18%
17°C
34%
18°C
34%
19°C或更高
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Mexico City on August 24 point to an overnight low near 12°C, driven by the city's high elevation (around 2,240 m) and typical rainy-season cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling while allowing scattered showers. Recent August minima have clustered between 12–15°C, with model consensus from multiple sources showing little deviation. The market's leading 46% implied probability on 9°C or below likely reflects trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty ranges, possible localized cold pockets, or model spread in a variable monsoon pattern, while the 24% on 19°C or higher prices warmer scenarios if skies clear less than expected. Official station readings will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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