Forecast models for Mexico City on August 23 point to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and afternoon convection typical of the rainy season, limiting daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This setup favors a daily high near 21–23 °C, consistent with climatological averages of 23–24 °C and recent extended guidance showing highs around 20–22 °C under persistent moisture. Trader consensus, reflected in the 37.5% implied probability for 22 °C, centers on the exact timing and coverage of cloud breaks or thunderstorms rather than any unusual air-mass shift. Updated short-range model runs and official observations over the next 24 hours will refine whether the peak settles at the lower or upper end of this narrow band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日墨西哥城气温最高?
22°C 34%
21°C 24%
23°C 11%
20°C 10%
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
10%
21°C
24%
22°C
34%
23°C
11%
24°C
6%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C或更高
2%
22°C 34%
21°C 24%
23°C 11%
20°C 10%
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
10%
21°C
24%
22°C
34%
23°C
11%
24°C
6%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models for Mexico City on August 23 point to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and afternoon convection typical of the rainy season, limiting daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This setup favors a daily high near 21–23 °C, consistent with climatological averages of 23–24 °C and recent extended guidance showing highs around 20–22 °C under persistent moisture. Trader consensus, reflected in the 37.5% implied probability for 22 °C, centers on the exact timing and coverage of cloud breaks or thunderstorms rather than any unusual air-mass shift. Updated short-range model runs and official observations over the next 24 hours will refine whether the peak settles at the lower or upper end of this narrow band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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