Recent model guidance and official forecasts from Environment Canada point to a post-frontal northwest flow and clearing skies overnight into August 25, promoting radiational cooling under light winds and dew points near 14°C. This setup, following Monday’s below-average high of 20°C and showers, has shifted the air mass cooler than the 17°C seasonal average low for the date. Ensemble spreads show potential for the minimum to dip to 11–14°C if skies clear fully and winds remain calm, supporting the market’s elevated implied probability on 11°C or below while capping upside risk above 17°C absent warmer advection.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日多伦多最低气温？
8月25日多伦多最低气温？
11°C或以下 87%
12°C 43%
21°C或更高 34%
15°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
11°C或以下
87%
12°C
43%
13°C
23%
14°C
24%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
8%
19°C
7%
20°C
12%
21°C或更高
34%
11°C或以下 87%
12°C 43%
21°C或更高 34%
15°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
11°C或以下
$135 交易量
87%
12°C
$5 交易量
43%
13°C
$0 交易量
23%
14°C
$0 交易量
24%
15°C
$0 交易量
27%
16°C
$0 交易量
27%
17°C
$0 交易量
27%
18°C
$0 交易量
8%
19°C
$4 交易量
7%
20°C
$5 交易量
12%
21°C或更高
$5 交易量
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and official forecasts from Environment Canada point to a post-frontal northwest flow and clearing skies overnight into August 25, promoting radiational cooling under light winds and dew points near 14°C. This setup, following Monday’s below-average high of 20°C and showers, has shifted the air mass cooler than the 17°C seasonal average low for the date. Ensemble spreads show potential for the minimum to dip to 11–14°C if skies clear fully and winds remain calm, supporting the market’s elevated implied probability on 11°C or below while capping upside risk above 17°C absent warmer advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$154结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and official forecasts from Environment Canada point to a post-frontal northwest flow and clearing skies overnight into August 25, promoting radiational cooling under light winds and dew points near 14°C. This setup, following Monday’s below-average high of 20°C and showers, has shifted the air mass cooler than the 17°C seasonal average low for the date. Ensemble spreads show potential for the minimum to dip to 11–14°C if skies clear fully and winds remain calm, supporting the market’s elevated implied probability on 11°C or below while capping upside risk above 17°C absent warmer advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$154结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETRecent model guidance and official forecasts from Environment Canada point to a post-frontal northwest flow and clearing skies overnight into August 25, promoting radiational cooling under light winds and dew points near 14°C. This setup, following Monday’s below-average high of 20°C and showers, has shifted the air mass cooler than the 17°C seasonal average low for the date. Ensemble spreads show potential for the minimum to dip to 11–14°C if skies clear fully and winds remain calm, supporting the market’s elevated implied probability on 11°C or below while capping upside risk above 17°C absent warmer advection.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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