Recent ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models indicate Toronto's overnight low on August 24 will likely settle near 12–14°C, with trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 36.5% and 36.0% implied probabilities. Subtle differences arise from variable cloud cover affecting radiative cooling, boundary-layer wind speeds, and the precise timing of any frontal passage that could moderate or enhance the urban heat island. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 15°C, yet current model spreads highlight genuine forecast uncertainty from initialization errors and parameterization of surface fluxes. Updated runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely narrow the range and shift positioning toward resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日多伦多最低气温？
8月24日多伦多最低气温？
12°C 36%
14°C 36%
16°C 27%
15°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
9°C或以下
3%
10°C
8%
11°C
9%
12°C
36%
13°C
22%
14°C
36%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
23%
18°C
3%
19°C或更高
2%
12°C 36%
14°C 36%
16°C 27%
15°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
9°C或以下
$135 交易量
3%
10°C
$46 交易量
8%
11°C
$5 交易量
9%
12°C
$0 交易量
36%
13°C
$0 交易量
22%
14°C
$0 交易量
36%
15°C
$0 交易量
27%
16°C
$0 交易量
27%
17°C
$0 交易量
23%
18°C
$155 交易量
3%
19°C或更高
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models indicate Toronto's overnight low on August 24 will likely settle near 12–14°C, with trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 36.5% and 36.0% implied probabilities. Subtle differences arise from variable cloud cover affecting radiative cooling, boundary-layer wind speeds, and the precise timing of any frontal passage that could moderate or enhance the urban heat island. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 15°C, yet current model spreads highlight genuine forecast uncertainty from initialization errors and parameterization of surface fluxes. Updated runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely narrow the range and shift positioning toward resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$346结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models indicate Toronto's overnight low on August 24 will likely settle near 12–14°C, with trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 36.5% and 36.0% implied probabilities. Subtle differences arise from variable cloud cover affecting radiative cooling, boundary-layer wind speeds, and the precise timing of any frontal passage that could moderate or enhance the urban heat island. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 15°C, yet current model spreads highlight genuine forecast uncertainty from initialization errors and parameterization of surface fluxes. Updated runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely narrow the range and shift positioning toward resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$346结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models indicate Toronto's overnight low on August 24 will likely settle near 12–14°C, with trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 36.5% and 36.0% implied probabilities. Subtle differences arise from variable cloud cover affecting radiative cooling, boundary-layer wind speeds, and the precise timing of any frontal passage that could moderate or enhance the urban heat island. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 15°C, yet current model spreads highlight genuine forecast uncertainty from initialization errors and parameterization of surface fluxes. Updated runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely narrow the range and shift positioning toward resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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